NDP facing headwinds as support drops in Quebec.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto In our latest nationwide poll, only 5 points separates the Conservatives (32%) Liberals (29%) and NDP (27%). However, underneath the national figures, important trends have been developing in Quebec and Ontario, where 199 of the country’s 338 seats are at stake.  The number of undecided voters in our sample

Platforms strengths & weaknesses entering the second half of Election 42

CPC wins on security, struggling on economy. NDP has strength in Quebec, but soft on taxes, jobs elsewhere Liberals competitive on economy, especially in Ontario By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto As we’ve passed the mid-point in the campaign, parties have announced many parts of their platforms. We thought it would be useful to see

The Race for 24 Sussex

Mulcair most popular, but has lost ground Trudeau’s campaign shows good results Harper negatives hit new high By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto After soaring from April of this year, our latest survey shows a softening of impressions of NDP Leader Thomas Mulcair. His positives sagged slightly (2 points) to 39% and his negatives jumped

Desire for change intensifies, and battle for “change vote” tightens

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto The mood of the country continued to deteriorate and the desire for change grew since our last wave of surveying. Today, just 32% say the country is heading in the right direction, a drop of 18 points since last December and the lowest we have measured since we began

Research Note: Who are the undecided voters?

By David Coletto In our latest survey (completed August 26 to 28), 24% of respondents said they were undecided about which party they would support.  This is same proportion as our previous wave of research two weeks ago. Past Federal Voting Behaviour In 2011, 42% say they did not vote while 58% said they voted.

Election 2015: The Politics of a Soft Economy

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Only 35% believe the country is heading in the right direction, while 33% say it is on the wrong track. These are the weakest indicators we have seen since we began tracking this question 18 months ago. Among those who say the country is heading in the right direction,

Race narrows as NDP support dips

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Our latest national voting intention numbers reveal a tightening race as the NDP has lost a little ground. If the election were tomorrow, 31% say they would vote NDP (down from 35% two weeks ago), 30% would vote CPC, and 28% would vote Liberal. The Liberals picked up 2

Mood of the electorate worsens as perceptions about the economy deteriorate.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Feelings about the economy weakened sharply in the last month, and for the first time in our study going back to October 2013 more people say the economy is in poor shape than say it is in good shape. Only 33% think the economy is growing, while 64% think

Duffy-Wright-Harper: Does it Matter?

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto One in five are following the Duffy trial closely (22%) The Mike Duffy trial has captured the attention of a significant number of voters with 22% saying they are following the trial closely, including 6% who say they are following it very closely. Among “persuadable voters” (those who have

Election 2015: May, Trudeau, and Mulcair images improve, Harper negatives rise.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Overall Impressions Public feelings about the leaders of Canada’s three main political parties has been shifting. Negative feelings about Stephen Harper are on the rise. Mr. Harper’s best ratings in the last 18 months were last December, when 34% were positive and 38% were negative towards the Conservative leader.

Good Decisions Require Good Data.