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How did the Alberta wildfires impact the campaign?
Just as we anticipated in our final pre-poll survey, Danielle Smith and the United Conservatives ended up on top when all the votes were tallied. That same survey also dug into how Alberta’s wildfires may have influenced voter sentiment. Based on responses from 1,200 eligible Albertan voters from May 26 to May 28, 2023, we […]
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United Conservatives poised for victory in a very close Alberta election: Abacus Data Poll
Analyzing the final poll of an election is both an exciting and anxiety-inducing exercise, especially when the election is close. Throughout the pre-campaign and campaign periods in Alberta, I’ve tried to offer a deeper understanding of what’s going on in the province, starting with our first survey back in December. That survey suggested that Danielle […]
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Danielle Smith's UCP leading slightly in Alberta election: poll – Toronto Star
All eyes remain on battleground Calgary where the UCP appears to have a slight edge over Rachel Notley’s NDP.
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Pollsters say Poilievre leadership kicked Conservative 'fundraising juggernaut' into … – The Hill Times
Abacus Data CEO David Coletto echoed Nanos’ evaluation, noting that while the Conservatives have consistently outperformed the Liberals on …
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338Canada: High stakes and deadlock in Alberta – POLITICO
The Conservative and NDP leaders square off Thursday in the only debate of the campaign. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith speaks at a microphone flanked …
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Abacus Poll: UCP leads NDP in Alberta with one week to go.
After the leaders’ debate last Thursday, we launched our second last survey of the campaign to gauge what impact the debate and campaign may be having on voting intentions. The survey was conducted from May 19 to 22, 2023, and surveyed 1,507 eligible voters in Alberta online. In this report, I specifically highlight the results […]
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NDP and UCP Statistically Tied in Alberta
Over the weekend we released a new poll that found the NDP taking a lead over the UCP. Several other polls have been released or leaked which have found varying results – from a large UCP lead to a large NDP lead. So I wanted to verify and update the province-wide picture and conducted a […]
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Conservatives lead by 3 over Liberals
From May 9 to 12, 2023, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,500 adults exploring several topics related to Canadian politics and current events as part of our regular national omnibus surveys. In this analysis, I share the latest federal vote intention results. If an election was held at the time of the survey, […]
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What do Canadians think about Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre?
In a recent national survey conducted by Abacus Data, Canadians were asked to assess the Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition: Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre – on several attributes. The survey aimed to gauge public perception of the politicians’ competence, kindness, understanding of people’s lives, whether they hide their true beliefs, and if […]
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The NDP takes the lead in Alberta
With just over two weeks to go in the Alberta provincial election, a new survey of 885 eligible voters in Alberta by Abacus Data finds the Alberta NDP jumping ahead of the UCP after several months of near or complete deadlock in vote intentions between the two parties. In this report, I’ll share results from […]