NL Election 2015: St. John’s West – Liberal Siobhán Coady leads NDP Leader McCurdy by 33 points

By David Coletto & Bruce Anderson VOCM News commissioned Abacus Data to conduct surveys in four provincial electoral districts. Today, we report the results of a survey of 500 eligible voters living in St. John’s West. Download the full results deck here: https://abacusdata.ca/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/Abacus-Newfoundland-and-Labrador-Political-Survey-St.-Johns-West-Nov-2015.pdf The Race in St. John’s West Liberal candidate Siobhán Coady has a

NL Election Kick-Off: Liberals storm to a 47-point lead. It Isn’t About the Economy.

By David Coletto & Bruce Anderson Coming off of a Liberal sweep of Newfoundland and Labrador in October’s Federal Election, provincial Liberals in Newfoundland and Labrador have stormed into a 47-point lead province-wide in our latest survey of 800 eligible voters in the province. Liberal support is at 66% compared with 19% for the PCs

Canadian Universities: Public Reputation & Expectations

By Bruce Anderson, Chairman, Abacus Data Version française disponible ici Background On behalf of Universities Canada, Abacus conducted an extensive online nationwide study of Canadians’ views of universities. The sample size was 2,000 adult Canadians, between June 18th and June 25th. Reputation of Canada’s Universities The large majority of Canadians have a good impression of

Final #elxn42 poll: What do Canadians think about the leaders?

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto The three main party leaders have been a huge part of the story of how this election has played out.  And the views of all three have shifted over the 11 week campaign. The biggest shift has been rapid improvement in positive feeling about Mr. Trudeau.  Only 30% said

Final #elxn42 Poll: Expected Winner and Best Performing Leader

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Throughout the campaign, we’ve been keeping an eye on how voters are predicting the outcome, as this can sometimes have an impact on their own decisions, strategic or otherwise.  In August of 2014, a year before the writs were dropped, 39% thought the Liberals would win, 25% picked the

Final #elxn42 Poll: Who voted at advance polls?

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto In our final survey of the election campaign, we interviewed just over 900 people who had already voted at the advance polls, which amounted to 30% of our sample.  Worth noting is that advance turnout was roughly equal for men (31%) and women (29%), and similar in the three

The Case for Change vs. The Case for No Change

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Canadians split on whether the country is on the right track 37% of Canadians say the country is on the wrong track while 36% feel the opposite. Since the beginning of the campaign, the country has been remarkably split, an indicator of just why this election is so hard

Election 2015: Blue vs. Red; Orange flagging.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Liberals continue to edge upward, NDP downward In our latest horserace numbers, the Conservatives have 33% across the country, the Liberals 32%, and the NDP 24%. For both the Conservatives and Liberals these are the best levels of support we’ve seen since the election started; for the NDP, it

The Battle for the Change Vote

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Three out of four voters want change: but what does that mean? We asked the 76% of voters who said they preferred to see a change in government, whether they preferred ambitious or moderate change, and change that would be felt soon, or more gradually. We also asked which

NDP facing headwinds as support drops in Quebec.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto In our latest nationwide poll, only 5 points separates the Conservatives (32%) Liberals (29%) and NDP (27%). However, underneath the national figures, important trends have been developing in Quebec and Ontario, where 199 of the country’s 338 seats are at stake.  The number of undecided voters in our sample

Good Decisions Require Good Data.