Canadians are united in believing our country brings good to the world

We asked people whether they thought Canada and several other countries were doing more good for the world or more harm.

Canadians are almost unanimously that our country does more good than harm in the world.

The majority feel the US does more harm; results are almost identical for China.

A broad 80% see Russia as an unhelpful force in the world today.

While issues, generations, gender, regional tensions and political philosophies can lead to disagreements within Canada, on this simple test – do we as a country do more good than harm – there was plenty of pride on display.  90% of each age group say we are a force for good. Men and women are only 3 points different. And more than 85% in every region feel this way.

And, for the politically inclined, it’s worth noting that the differences on this question are small – only 7 points from Liberal voters (94%) at one end and Green Party voters (87%) at the other

THE UPSHOT

Bruce Anderson:  “On Canada Day, it’s worth taking note that despite all the things that can set people apart, and the days and ways that we can be disappointed in our country, we almost all seem to believe that on balance, Canada is bringing something good to the world.

The results for the US are striking – many no doubt see the actions the US is taking under the Trump administration as an aberration for America – but a problem for the rest of the world nonetheless. The results for Russia signal that Canadians are likely skeptical of the motive behind and the prospects for a useful outcome for the world from an upcoming Trump-Putin summit.”

Methodology

Our survey was conducted online with 1,200 Canadians aged 18 and over from May 24 to 28, 2018. A random sample of panelists was invited to complete the survey from randomly selected Canadian adults who are members of the Maru Voice Canada online panel.

The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association policy limits statements about margins of sampling error for most online surveys.   The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 2.9%, 19 times out of 20.  The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Canada’s population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Abacus Data Inc.

We offer global research capacity with a strong focus on customer service, attention to detail and value-added insight.  Our team combines the experience of our Chairman Bruce Anderson, one of Canada’s leading research executives for two decades, with the energy, creativity and research expertise of CEO David Coletto, PhD.

Digital Brand Reputations? They aren’t all equal.

In our latest poll (not commissioned by any company or group) we asked people whether they thought a series of contemporary digital brands were doing more good for the world or more harm. Here are the highlights of our findings:

Google, Amazon, Apple, and YouTube scored very well, with large majorities saying they see more good than bad from these services.

Results were mixed for Instagram, Facebook, and Twitter.  In each case roughly as many people said these platforms were bringing more harm to the world as said “more good”.  The most negative opinions were for Snapchat.

To put these results in a bit more context, we asked the same question about other technologies and some cultural influences too. Google, Amazon, Apple and YouTube results are in a range similar to those for satellites, air travel, music and film.  Facebook and Twitter results are closer to those found for religion.

We examined difference across demographic or political groups and noticed:

– Google’s popularity is consistently high across different groups.
– Women are slightly more positive than men about Facebook and Twitter.
– Younger people are slightly more positive towards Twitter. Conservatives are slightly more negative.
– NDP voters are more critical about the impact of religion.
– Music is pretty universally seen as a force for good.

The Upshot

Bruce Anderson: “The Internet has changed life and started a new chapter in the story of civilization.  The power of a search engine to help people learn more, more quickly and to add convenience to their lives has earned it a very positive reputation – it’s value to society is almost universally appreciated. The ability to access music, film, TV anytime and anywhere, through Apple platforms and products is one of the world’s greatest consumer satisfaction and business success stories in decades.  Amazon is re-defining convenience and the modern shopping experience.

Facebook and Twitter are struggling with mixed opinions – many see the positive and the potential to bring people together, but as many see more destructive or harmful influences.

This is obviously topical and relevant in political circles today given the way these platforms can be used to mislead voters and distort facts – but the criticisms are probably also about the way in which these platforms can exacerbate cultural divisions and give oxygen to those with bullying or hostile instincts.  For a pretty considerable number of people, social media come off as more anti-social in their impact.”

Methodology

Our survey was conducted online with 1,200 Canadians aged 18 and over from May 24 to 28, 2018. A random sample of panelists was invited to complete the survey from randomly selected Canadian adults who are members of the Maru Voice Canada online panel.

The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association policy limits statements about margins of sampling error for most online surveys.   The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 2.9%, 19 times out of 20.  The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Canada’s population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Abacus Data Inc.

We offer global research capacity with a strong focus on customer service, attention to detail and value-added insight.  Our team combines the experience of our Chairman Bruce Anderson, one of Canada’s leading research executives for two decades, with the energy, creativity and research expertise of CEO David Coletto, PhD. For more information, visit our website at http://www.abacusdata.ca/

Give me a Tip? Give me a Break!

Let’s be honest, the conversation about tipping can be uncomfortable for millennials – especially since CreditCards released their study results that determined Millennials are terrible at it. It thereafter inspired many other articles in the past few days titled along the lines of, “Millennials are the Worst Tippers”. The first thought that struck me when reading this was, ‘is anyone actually surprised by this?’. I am most certainly not caught off guard that millennials tip less – and I don’t think most people should be.

I would like to clarify before this long-winded rant begins, this isn’t about justifying not tipping – this is a plea to give millennials a break. Also, a request for readers to consider the cultural and economic aspects of tipping that make millennials stingier with their wallets.

CreditCards survey suggests that 10% of millennials don’t tip, versus the 3% of older generations that do. They also point out that millennials tip less when they do at a median 15% versus the 18%-20% range of generation X and boomers. The follow-up articles on these statistics are stating that millennials are “less generous”. The use of language is bothersome, so let’s explore why millennials may not be reliable with tipping.

To be frank, millennials are broke and this is not a great time for a lot of them financially. Many are either starting their careers, riddled with student debt, at the beginning of parenthood, and attempting to buy houses (have you seen those mortgage rates?). There’s not as much money going around, and when millennials do have stable sources of income, it goes towards paying off debt or towards their next goal. This makes the comparison of younger generations versus older much more polarizing than it needs to be. Of course older generations tip more on average. Why? Because they can. Those at the height of their career or retired have much more money to spend on tipping while offering higher amounts. Also, because their grandchildren constantly complain about how little they earn working at a restaurant (because legally they can pay below minimum wage).

Another aspect to look at is the choices millennials make when purchasing food. We all hear about how millennials love their overpriced avocado toast and $5 coffee. Yet, usually, this is a reflection of their values. Millennials prefer to purchase more fair trade and organic products, which generally makes them more expensive. A $5 coffee (that becomes $5.50 after a tip) is half an hour of work under British Columbia’s current minimum wage. Maybe there is cause to judge millennials for choosing more expensive options, but don’t forget that the coffee shop industry would not survive without millennials (cafe models are geared directly towards them). They are the fuel that allows those industries to grow, and if millennials aren’t going to get credit for tipping, they should get credit for supporting a 6.2 billion-dollar industry that offers 160,000 jobs in those cafes in Canada (while also supporting more environmentally friendly and ethically sourced production).

Beyond the economic aspects, it’s a cultural thing. Millennials make up the majority of service jobs that are paid at or below minimum wage and require tips to make up the difference. Millennials are unattracted to the system because it disenfranchises them, their friends, or someone they know working in restaurants. They distrust a system that allows restaurants to underpay their workers, so they can re-earn them in tips. They would rather have a system that gives the upfront cost and pay higher, knowing that every worker is getting at least minimum wage. This rings true with millennials who travel more often and go abroad. Leaving North America, for the most part, means dining where tips are not required, and tax is included in the price which making budgeting and spending much more convenient (alright I’ll admit, millennials love convenience). The more millennials travel (which a lot of them of them do) and see for themselves how a restaurant can go without tipping, the more likely they are to be against it and advocate for change.

Now, because millennials are working those jobs – you might think that it makes them more understanding on the need to tip. And trust me, it does. However, when they can tip (which 90% still do according to this survey) it’s usually the lowest possible tip accepted. I would be surprised to find a colleague (which I have many of) that would tip more than 15% while working another job that relied on tips.

Case and point, millennials being the worst tippers is not about millennials being greedy. It directly speaks to the cultural and economic aspects that the generation faces and should be understood with a little more empathy. I’m not saying millennials shouldn’t tip when the system is still at play (because we feel for our fellow millennials who want to make a living allowance), but we should understand that there are reasons rooted in millennials tipping less. I’m glad older generations are stable enough to tip more at the average of 20%. I hope for the day when my peers and I can do that too.

OUTSOURCED Part 3: Peer Networks: The Currency of Trust

Outsourced

How do we decide whom and what we place our trust in? Generally, you trust your parents and family members because you were born into their lives. You typically trust your spouse because there is an underlying attraction which facilitates its development. But how do you trust a stranger? How do you develop trust in a person or company that you know nothing about and have no references for? Especially if you are looking to place faith on someone who would be in the care of a something you highly value. How can you be sure that the duty of care will be upheld when you’re handing over the keys of your house to some strangers on Airbnb, or letting someone walk your beloved dog for you? When we lived in smaller communities, trust was entrenched as we knew our community members if not by first name at least by their family. But as our community size and diversity increased, trust has become harder to achieve. Nevertheless, despite increasing cosmopolitanism, trust is beginning to be reintegrated into our communities and peer networks are giving us the ability to do it.

This is the final segment in a three-part series that will talk about the “peer to peer network”. How it has affected getting hired, choosing services (from where to eat to transportation), and how they have influenced how businesses build trust with their clients.

Peer Networks: The Currency of Trust 

The trust crux has been at the centre of every heterogenous society since the dawn of human civilization. Ancient Hebrews used to recite a list of their patrimonial heritage until they found a commonly known ancestor between themselves and the stranger they wanted to do business with. Scandinavians found their work around by creating patronymic surname which announces the names or houses of their fathers or mothers (i.e. Leif, Eric’s son = Leif Ericson). Companies have followed suit, forging their own methods to establish trust. The ancient Athenian potter, Euthymides jovially etched his trademarked “hos oudepote Euphronios” to differentiate from his counterfeiters and Cadbury’s purple wrapping reassures consumers of their confectionaries that quality sweets reside inside.

These novelties worked in less crowded markets. Rarely did Cadbury ever have to worry about budding chocolatiers in East Bengal taking its market share, nor did Euthymides have to worry about Meso-American imports flooding his Delian market. A modern world as globalized and competitive as ours requires a new trust layer as our modern-day companies are discovering, so much more so when what is being exchanged is highly valued by the owner.

We have already seen how peer networks have affected modern hiring practices, and we discovered how a crowd-sourced network can make a non-existent restaurant London’s number one place to eat. Today we look at how we build trust with new companies via the peer network.

We are in the renaissance of personal data applications and services are being curated to meet the individual needs. Leading this vanguard of creative disrupters…Wag!. “Wag!” is personalized dog walking service that matches dog owners with local dog walkers and sitters. Wag! dog handlers go through extensive background checks and on top of that you can track your dog walker in real time and before you meet them you can view their profile on Wag!’s mobile app. While background checks and certifications help build trust the clincher for most Wag! users are the ratings and reviews available for each Wag! dog handler.

The reviews come from people just like you. This prompts the question, why do we put value in peer references for these service providers? The simple reason is that that they are other people, just like you. They are fellow dog owners that live in your neighbourhood and they care about their dog just as much as you. These are your people, your dog-owning peers. If they say they had a good experience with this dog walker, it must be right.  People trust others that fit into their own social group and seeing reviews from these people who are similar to yourself builds the bonds of trust needed to let a stranger walk your four-legged companion.  The owner of that profile has been okayed by others in the dog community and they are now allowed into your circle of trust. This phenomenon is known as “social proof” and it is the currency that propelled new economy companies like Uber, Airbnb, and Wag! to their initial success. While now you can forge Cadbury’s hue of purple or Euthymides’s signature it’s much harder to forge the identity of your neighbour or the opinion of your friend. Peer networks and social proof are the trust layer of this generation where trademarks or a leader’s word was to the last generation.

Now, like our previous two parts of this series suggests, the system itself is not infallible. The 6 references for a Wag! dog walker may not be totally authentic, and for all you know, your neighbour was paid to make a positive review. While trust can be a challenge to build, it’s easy to break and the internet offers a multitude of platforms for individuals to post online about their experience, many outside of the control of service providers. We have all seen what effect one viral negative post can do to a company in an order of minutes. We only need to recall Kylie Jenner’s infamous tweet that helped Snapchat lose $1.3 billion in stock value. This is the peril of businesses that build their livelihood on the foundation of the peer network. Positive reviews can create massive windfalls, but negative ones can decimate a company just as quickly – this is an unstable position for the businesses, employees, and customers. The speed of the fall is mainly determined by how much trust has been entrenched between users and the company.

This world is changing. Traditional gatekeepers have lost their position as venerated oracles of trust. Doctors are judged not by their degrees but what former and current patients have to say about them on Google Reviews. People are hired based on the skill set their peers have endorsed on LinkedIn, and people will choose a dog walker based on how they are reviewed by neighbours. The peer network has altered our behaviours, it has helped to build trust between strangers we want to transact with, and it has opened a new world to fraudulent representation. Like all advancements in our history, peer networks can be used for good or for bad but whatever future lies ahead one thing is for certain – it will be determined by our peers.

OUTSOURCED Part 2: In Peer, I Trust: Outsourcing Our Minds to the Web

Outsourced

Looking for a place to eat out tonight? Well, if you’re like most people you probably started your hunt with a web search of “top 10 restaurants in (insert your location here)”. Dozens of lists from search engines to local bloggers accompanied with a ranking and sometimes hundreds of reviews appear. In committing this mechanical act, you have just sourced your search out to the peer network. We heavily rely on these peer moderated systems, reviewing and ranking businesses, transportation services, and even people. It has streamlined our decision-making processes and takes the worry out of trying something new. But are there consequences to outsourcing your decision making to a crowd network?

This is the second in a three-part series that will talk about the “peer to peer network”. How it has affected getting hired, choosing services (from where to eat to transportation), and how they have influenced how businesses build trust with their clients.

In Peer, I trust: Outsourcing Our Minds to the Web

We all want to trust our peers. Life would be filled with a lot more paranoia if we didn’t. With a decline in trust in institutions, now more than ever we rely on the people we know for advice and decision-making assistance. When our immediate circle of friends aren’t around us we look to “people like us” for their trusted opinions. This is no different when we go online. If we wanted to go to a new restaurant we would usually check with our foodie friends for recommendations, read the reviews, peruse the menu, and even take a virtual tour of the place before deciding whether or not we should go there. But above all these factors, ratings are king. They influence our expectations and even deter us from visiting. But maybe these peer reviews and ratings should be taken with a grain of salt

Here are three cases that showcase how trust in the peer network is built, and broken.

These ratings can be useful when looking for a good restaurant to eat at, but that does not mean it’s always accurate, let alone real. Take, for example, the story of how a nonexistent restaurant managed to become the #1 rated restaurant in London (UK) on TripAdvisor. This “restaurant” was able to rise above more than 18,000 other restaurants in the rankings due to a coordinated campaign of fake comments, planted ratings, and counterfeit photos. This is a classic case study of the false reality that can be created and hosted by these peer generated networks. This is just one illustration of how an unmoderated peer network can be hijacked by at best a deceptive prankster and at worst a malicious grifter.

In contrast, Airbnb, the service that facilitates “hosts” renting out their homes or rooms to people online. This has disrupted the traditional hotel and hostel markets. As opposed to TripAdvisor’s completely open platform, Airbnb adds a layer of moderation. “Renters” are asked to submit a review of their accommodations within 14 days after their stay. This system prevents outsider (or fictional) users from leaving a review. It also annuls the risk of paid reviews, a problem open platforms like TripAdvisor and Google reviews have to cope with. Airbnb added another trust layer to their service with Airbnb Plus. This service sends certified inspectors to the host’s accommodations to verify the quality. This service tier is restricted to more luxurious rental options. By adding this additional trust layer companies like Airbnb ensure that you never end up in a not-as-advertised London loft (or restaurant) again.

Uber, the popular ride-sharing service that has threatened the global taxi industry, has used the peer network to rapidly scale their business in a stagnating and poorly reputed market. After every ride, the rider has the opportunity to rate their experience on a scale of 1 to 5 stars. Uber has often boasted that they only allow drivers to continue with their service if they have a 4.6 star rating or higher. Users of Uber enjoy the certainty of getting into a car that had been reviewed by possibly hundreds of riders before them. Above this, users could also watch the diver approach the pick-up location and the final trip cost.

By having hundreds other people telling you that a driver is the bee’s knees and with a guarantee from Uber that they only partner with bee’s knees drivers, Uber has been able to capture a market share greater than any global taxi company. Peer networks bring with them attribution value. As more peers join the network and they rate the assets on the network (i.e care, house, restaurant) the more people attribute value of those assets and reinforce the network. Simply put, as in the case of Uber, the peer network can accelerate the growth of companies.

So, what is the point of all this? Trust sells. Especially for millennials.

When we asked Canadians to rank a number of global brands Uber and Airbnb came out strong. Of those aware of the brand, 37% of millennials had a positive impression of Airbnb as compared to only 24% of those aged 45-59. Uber had a similar spread with 35% of millennials having a positive impression of them and only 22% of 45-59-year old’s saying the same.

TripAdvisor is an open and free service whose business model is designed to make leaving a review as seamless as possible. Airbnb and Uber are similar to TripAdvisor in that they leave the rating and reviewing of most of their assets to their respective peer network. However, the difference between the two groups is the trust layer. With the goal of ensuring its users against fraud, Airbnb reduced the number of peers in its network by making profiles obligatory to access the platform and limiting interactions to a 14-day window after staying at a host property. Uber reduces uncertainty by allowing users to rate drivers immediately after rides and dropping drivers that get too low of a peer networked score. This added layer of moderation comes with a price seen in the fees attached to renting a property or hiring a car and the time taken to build a profile.

These are just three examples of peer networks but in a world where trusting strangers can get you to show up to a make-believe restaurant, it sometimes pays to pay for trust, but it always pays to think critically and make informed decisions.

OUTSOURCED Part 1: The Peer Employer: No References Required

Outsourced

The world used to be a simpler place. To get a job you would visit prospective employers, hand in your resume, provide prestigious references, and wait for your call back. Today, the hiring process is more invasive than it has ever been. Before hiring, employers will view as many social media profiles as they can find, conduct a Google inquiry, and then call your provided references. By the end of the hiring process, your employer could know more about you than your own mother. What does this all mean for hiring transparency?

This is the first in a three-part series that will talk about the “peer to peer network”. How it has affected getting hired, choosing services (from where to eat to transportation), and how they have influenced how businesses build trust with their clients.

The Peer Employer: No References Required

Imagine this: Over lunch your friend asks you to recommend them on their newly updated LinkedIn profile. You break out into a cold sweat, and mutter, “of course”- knowing you cannot outwardly turn a request down like that from a friend. You just hope they eventually forget – but this hope is soon diminished by a smooth follow up message on Facebook five business days later. While you enjoy their company socially, you know that your friend does not have the best employment track record. What do you do? If you’re like me, you write them a recommendation (and endorse them for good measure). Why? Because they are your friend and you want to preserve that relationship. You also (with a little guilt) hope they reciprocate the gesture with an equally enthralling reference on your profile. For some readers, this might merely be a thought exercise but for the others who are like me, this is an all too real vignette of last weeks lunch date. This scenario is an example of why peer reviews most important element, trust, is also the source of its fatal flaw. It implies trust that was never there in the first place. This is interesting because the peer network is built of off building trust between companies and hiring employees, to customers and clients looking to build a relationship with a company and pay for their products and services.

Peer to peer networks are as old as human society. Traditionally, employers asked candidates for their previous employment record and references from past managers. The employer sought the attestation of the candidate’s skills from their peers – other employers. Increasingly today, employers are crowdsourcing the referral process. Sites like LinkedIn expand the community of peers from past employers, to associates, colleagues, and friends. The locus of legitimacy has moved from key opinion gatekeepers to the balance of public opinion. The future of candidate selection is anticipated to simulate how you might choose a restaurant. Look at the candidate’s reviews, check their menu of skills, and see if anyone important has written about them.

Many would say that this is a fantastic advancement in candidate selection. Not only do you get a bigger picture of the potential hire you also save time from tracking down references. So, where’s the fault in all of this? It seems to be a more holistic approach to candidate vetting. Yet, there is a reason everything is put online. The platforms we create for ourselves can be easily manipulated—even accidentally. The opening example of the planted recommendation is just one of many ways users can boost their profiles.

Another example of profile-boosting is LinkedIn’s endorsements feature. LinkedIn’s help webpage writes, “endorsing your connections’ skills is a way to recognize any professional abilities that you’ve seen them demonstrate. You may be asked to provide feedback on skills and endorsements. Endorsing your colleagues can also help you to maintain strong connections with the people in your network.” The idea of endorsing colleagues for their skills and hard work is a great idea. However, in practice, it is a mix of a popularity contest and does not always accrue to a genuine or accurate portrayal of an individual’s skill. Some users of LinkedIn will constantly endorse others at the click of a mouse, not because they genuinely know of someone’s skill, but because they hope their effort will be reciprocal and earn them an endorsement back. Of course, this is not always the case, as many LinkedIn users would prefer to make sure the endorsements given and received are genuine. However, the system still allows itself to be taken advantage of by those trying to make their profiles reflect higher upon themselves. It all comes back to trust and whether or not employers trust that peers, colleagues, and co-workers are being authentic when they recommend and endorse others.

A consequence of focusing on crowd endorsements over gatekeeper attestations is nothing less than a shift in trust from verifiable others to a personally curated picture of yourself by your crowd of peers. A user who is very active on LinkedIn could get several endorsements for multiple skills by being pushy versus having the actual skills and connections.

While online platforms can help recruiters find the perfect match for a new employee, the system is not infallible. Online identities can be falsified, the main issue with this is how legitimate that falsification looks on an individual profile. With a higher emphasis on recruiters looking online, it gives tech-savvy millennials the chance to be flashy and do what they can to impress possible employers. The main point being, while LinkedIn is a handy tool, for both the employer and candidate, don’t go ditching those required character references any time soon.

Canadians mad at Trump tariffs; support retaliation. Millions want to do their own part.

The decision by US President Donald Trump to impose tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum has caught public attention in Canada in a way that few trade issues ever have – and Canadians are mad.

58% strongly oppose Mr. Trump’s action against Canada and another 21% oppose the US tariffs.  What’s more, Mr. Trump has managed to unite Canadians to an extent that few issues do: opposition to the US tariffs is roughly 80% in every part of the country.  Conservative voters are 82% against Mr. Trump on this issue, NDP voters 80% and Liberals 87%.

Reaction to the counter-measures announced by the Canadian government has garnered a lot of support across the country.  41% strongly support the steps taken by the Prime Minister and another 30% support those actions.  Only 19% are opposed.

Support for the retaliatory measures is 69% in Alberta and higher everywhere else. Among Conservative voters, 65% support the retaliation and 27% oppose it.  Among NDP and Liberal voters support is 79% and 84%.

When probed a bit more on the retaliation, 14% feel Canada’s actions are pointless and may bring more harm to Canada.  Three times as many (31%) feel this is the only way to build up pressure within the US for fair trade with Canada.  The majority (55%) admit to feeling these actions by Canada might or might not work, but “we must stand up for ourselves” no matter what.

The level of Canadian frustration with the US President is so high, that many Canadians are inclined to want to do what they can to send a pocketbook message to America.

About 15 million Canadians or more say they wlll avoid US wines, cross border shopping and pleasure trips to the US.  Millions say they will avoid products with Made in the USA labels, avoid US produce, and avoid buying from large US companies such as Wal-Mart, Starbucks and McDonalds.

Whether people do or don’t follow through on these feelings remains to be seen – at a minimum these results illustrate that many people feel personally offended by the US actions.

Differences in the willingness to consider personal retaliation by region or partisan affiliation are mild.  Most Conservative voters are inclined to consider taking some actions to send a message to the US, and even more Liberal and NDP voters feel this way.

UPSHOT

According to Bruce Anderson: “Donald Trump is deeply unpopular in Canada, but Canadians have been mostly content to see the federal government work diplomatically to have a constructive relationship with his administration.

His comments about and actions towards Canada have changed the way people feel about what should be done now – people sense that being agreeable and constructive might not work and that Canada must push back when aggressive and unfair statements are made about their country.

People often overstate the actions they will personally take in response to an issue of concern, so care should be taken in forecasting a northern customer backlash – but that having been said, the potential for consumers to look for simple ways to tell Americans how upset they are is there – and for some segments of the US economy, the impacts could easily be meaningful, depending on how things unfold.”

According to David Coletto: “When Canada is targeted, Canadians unite. That’s clear from our data. In the past year, we have rarely seen an action taken by the federal government that unites Canadians across regional or partisan divides, but this is one of them.

More striking is how the anger over Trump’s decision could impact consumer behaviour in Canada. As Bruce said, people may be overreporting their actual intention to buy less American, but if a campaign builds, there’s a large audience who could be compelled to show displeasure with Trump’s trade agenda with their wallets.”

METHODOLOGY

The survey was conducted online with 2,200 Canadians aged 18 and over, from June 1 to June 6, 2018. A random sample of panelists were invited to complete the survey from a set of partner panels based on the Lucid exchange platform. These partners are typically double opt-in survey panels, blended to manage out potential skews in the data from a single source.

The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association policy limits statements about margins of sampling error for most online surveys.   The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 2.1%, 19 times out of 20.

The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Canada’s population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

ABACUS DATA INC.

Abacus Data is the only firm in Canada that helps organizations deal with the unprecedented threat of generational change and technological disruption.

We offer global research capacity with a strong focus on customer service, attention to detail and value-added insight.  Our team combines the experience of our Chairman Bruce Anderson, one of Canada’s leading research executives for two decades, with the energy, creativity and research expertise of CEO David Coletto, Ph.D.

New Poll: Canadians say plastics in oceans a problem and more action needed.

In our latest national survey, we asked Canadians about a plastic garbage and oceans and waterways.  Our findings are these:

One in three (36%) say it is one of the most important environmental issues today, and another 52% say it is one of many that concern them.

More than 3 million people (14% of Canadian adults) say there is no question that they personally contribute to the problem of plastic garbage in the oceans and another 6 million (25%) feel they probably do.

Asked about a range of possible steps that governments could take, very large majority want governments to encourage retailers, consumer products companies, and restaurant chains to make changes that reduce the amount of plastic that ends up in garbage.  More than 90% also support public education campaigns and community clean ups.

While people prefer to see voluntary actions by companies, our numbers reveal almost as many people would support regulations if necessary to accomplish more progress on this issue.

Interestingly differences on this issue are modest by region, gender and age.

While Conservative voters tend to be less likely to think they are part of the problem and slightly less supportive of all the policy actions tested, the vast majority of Conservatives nonetheless support all of the measures, including more than 70% who support regulating such changes.

THE UPSHOT

According to Bruce Anderson:  As the G7 leaders meet in Charlevoix with the issue of ocean plastic garbage on their agenda, voters in Canada need no convincing that this is a problem to be dealt with. Voters here will welcome ambitious voluntary actions by companies, and will like to have opportunities to support companies that make a change for the better.  But if it turns out that voluntary actions fail to make a difference, even Canadian conservatives would be open to regulated change.

METHODOLOGY

Our survey was conducted online with 1,200 Canadians aged 18 and over from May 24 to 28, 2018. A random sample of panelists was invited to complete the survey from randomly selected Canadian adults who are members of the online panel Maru Voice Canada.

The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association policy limits statements about margins of sampling error for most online surveys.   The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 2.9%, 19 times out of 20.  The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Canada’s population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Abacus Data Inc.

We offer global research capacity with a strong focus on customer service, attention to detail and value added insight.  Our team combines the experience of our Chairman Bruce Anderson, one of Canada’s leading research executives for two decades, with the energy, creativity and research expertise of CEO David Coletto, PhD.

Will June 7th belong to the millennials?

There is less than a week till June 7th – election day for the province of Ontario.

There is a question looming over the heads of Ontario’s political parties. That is, whether millennials will turn up to vote or not and if they do, where their votes will be cast. This year, 25% of the Ontario electorate is made up of millennials (those aged 18-37). This is the first time that millennials will outnumber their boomer parents in an election. For Ontario, this is truly the first “millennial election”. For the first time in their lives, millennials can play king (or queen) maker and can decide who forms the government in Queen’s Park come June 8th. However, there is that albatross of a question, will they turn up to the polls? Historically, Canadian politicos have written off young people as a viable bloc of support, but as the millennials have matured they have begun to show up and put their collective fingers on the electoral scale. Younger voters have shifted Canadian politics before, as in the 2015 federal election. With a 20% increase of the youth voter turn out, Justin Trudeau’s Liberals were given the mandate of a majority government. We have also seen what happens when millennials stay home with the election of Donald Trump as President of the United States in 2016. So, what motivates millennials to vote? Let’s explore that question.

What is stopping millennials from voting?

Other than the classic arguments of political disenchantment and the lack of parties appealing to millennial priorities, there are several difficulties that can hinder a millennial voter from participating in their civic duty. One of the main stumbling blocks for these young voters is simply that they’re new to voting. While they might have seen mom or dad go to the voting booth and cast their ballot they don’t really know how this whole voting process works. Here are some common glass barriers that millennials tend to stumble into.

  • How to register: In most Western democracies citizens are required to register with a central voter registry for their jurisdiction to vote. For Ontario this body is Elections Ontario. For many millennials, this provincial election will be their first and while they might have heard of voter registration they don’t necessarily understand how to instigate the process. Online registration is doable online through Elections Ontario but is now closed. This may confuse millennials as they may be unsure if they can vote without pre-registering. However, it is totally acceptable to register as a voter at the polling station on voting day.
  • Work conflict: Nearly all millennials are now engaged in the labour market. Holding junior and in some cases precarious positions in their organization, they are hesitant to ask for time off to vote before the polls close. Many don’t know that they are allowed to take time off work to ensure they have 3 consecutive hours without being docked pay in order to vote.
  • Studying out-of-province: Millennials are famously the most educated generation in history. Because of this many are studying out of province or out of the country. Mailing in a ballot is a fairly simple process for most. However, for millennials who rarely use postal services the very idea of obtaining a mail-in ballot, going to a post office, purchasing a stamp, and sending your decision by snail mail is intimidating and possibly too burdensome to even bother with. There could also be confusion on the process of voting in one’s home versus school riding if the two happen to be different.
  • Not knowing the election date/candidates: This one might surprise our seasoned boomer audience, but millennials live notoriously curated lives. Ignoring traditional media almost completely and sheltered by filter bubbles as they navigate the web, it is very difficult to reach the average millennial. The Ontario Elections Act only dictates that, “the returning officer shall cause the notice to be printed and copies to be posted in conspicuous places in the electoral district.” We have two problems here, print and posts. Millennials neither read printed publications nor pay much attention to printed notices in the real world. So, unless a millennial actively searches out the electoral date and local candidate (which will start with a Google search) there is a very good chance that they simply don’t know.

Beyond these barriers, there is the real possibility that millennials are truly uninterested in the electoral options presented for them. Millennials are different than other voting segments. Both their life stage and their generational circumstance influence their policy priorities.

Which policies attract millennials?

A game-changing millennial vote requires platforms that cater to millennial concerns. In our latest ONPulse opinion poll we found that the top three millennial priorities in Ontario are housing affordability, jobs, and the economy, with healthcare tied for third. To be relevant to Ontario’s youngest and now most powerful voting bloc, party strategists need to take their priorities into account, and for this election, they have. The Ontario Liberals are addressing housing affordability by planning to maintain rent controls to making properties more attainable for new renters. The PCs are looking to improve healthcare by introducing 30,000 hospital beds to give resources to hospitals and improve wait times. The NDP are tackling job concerns by pledging to introduce 27,000 co-ops and internships for students to gain work experience in their field of study.

The three main party platforms do connect with the younger population in some regards to post-secondary education as well. The Ontario NDP promises to waive overdue OSAP debt (which includes refinancing those who paid their debt back). Liberals are looking to raise the minimum wage up to $15 and have also previously passed legislation to benefit students such as free tuition for OSAP applicants who meet the requirements. The PCs are offering a tax break for all minimum wage workers, meaning anyone working at the minimum wage – will not pay provincial taxes.

Beyond partisan promises, voting is a unique social media opportunity. Politics is, more than ever, much more than a conversation at the dinner table. When voters post online that they went out to the poll and voted, it convinces their online followers and friends to do the same. Millennials are the most connected to social media platforms, and they can be used as a form of encouragement and democratic engagement.

Diplomatic, tolerant & ethical. How Canadians think the rest of the world sees our country.

In our latest national survey, we asked Canadians questions about a range of international issues and perceptions.

CANADA’S IMAGE ABROAD

Canadians think the rest of the world sees our country is seen as tolerant (93%) diplomatic (93%) and ethical (88%). The large majority think our country is seen as an example to replicate (79%), rather than to avoid.

We’re less sure whether we are seen as strong (56%), influential (55) or a leader (45%).

Opinion is divided on whether our influence in the world has been increasing or declining.

THREATS TO CANADA

Asked about a range of possible threats to Canada, the one that stands above all others is:

President Trump’s approach to foreign affairs (this poll was taken before the recent application of tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum).

Climate change also ranked very high, along with Islamic extremism and cyber attacks.

Korea’s and Iran’s nuclear ambitions were about equally threatening.

Relatively few see China’s emergence as a world power as a threat to Canada and the same is true for the prospect of the UK leaving the European Union.

As Canada gets ready to host G7 leaders in Charlevoix Canadians have a clear sense of what should be higher or lower foreign policy priorities for the country:

Protecting the country from terror attacks is rated as a higher priority than the other items we tested. Expanding trade opportunities, fighting global climate change and ending extreme poverty were close behind.

Fewer people attached high priority to improving women’s rights, equality and economic empowerment, strengthening the United Nations, and promoting and defending human rights in other countries.

Men put expanding trade opportunities at the top of the list, while women tended to attach more importance than men to almost all the other items tested.

Younger people put more emphasis on climate change, improving women’s rights and equality, promoting human rights and ending extreme poverty. Older Canadians were more focused on terror and trade.

Liberal and NDP voters are far more likely to prioritize climate change and improving women’s equality compared to Conservative voters. Conservative voters prioritize trade and protecting Canada from terrorism.

THE UPSHOT

According to Bruce Anderson:  Canadians feel our country is well regarded around the world, an example worth emulating the way in which we engage and conduct ourselves.

Even before the imposition by President Trump of tariffs against Canadian steel and aluminum, Canadians observe his approach to foreign affairs as a serious threat to Canada’s interests.  While Canadians have not liked every President the US has elected, it’s safe to say that there has not been another comparable experience with the leader of our neighbour and top trading partner.

In terms of the foreign policy priorities people care about, protection against terror risks is at the top of the list, but lots of people also want to see a focus on expanding trade, fighting poverty, and combating climate change too.

Younger people like a more expansive agenda and older people are focused on economics and security.  The results highlight once again that NDP and Liberal voters are more similar while Conservative voters stand apart from them, notably in their relative disinterest in climate change and gender equality.

According to David Coletto: We as Canadians tend to think the world views us quite positively and global surveys confirm this expectation. We see ourselves as appearing tolerant, diplomatic, and ethical and most feel that if more countries followed our example, the world would be a better place.

But we’re also realists. Many think we are often ignored and four in ten think we’re seen as weak as opposed to strong.

Most striking to me, besides Trump’s ability to focus our attention and concern on his behaviour, is how high global climate change is on our list of perceived threats to Canada. It’s a reminder that while Canadians may not put it highest on a list of priorities for government to act on when compared with health, taxes, or housing, we aren’t ignoring climate changes’ potential threat to Canada. Even one in three Conservative Party voters says global climate change should be a top or high foreign policy priority for Canada.

Methodology

Our survey was conducted online with 1,200 Canadians aged 18 and over from May 24 to 28, 2018. A random sample of panelists was invited to complete the survey from randomly selected Canadian adults who are members of the online panel Maru Voice Canada.

The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association policy limits statements about margins of sampling error for most online surveys.   The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 2.9%, 19 times out of 20.  The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Canada’s population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Abacus Data Inc.

We offer global research capacity with a strong focus on customer service, attention to detail and value-added insight.  Our team combines the experience of our Chairman Bruce Anderson, one of Canada’s leading research executives for two decades, with the energy, creativity and research expertise of CEO David Coletto, PhD.