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How did the Alberta wildfires impact the campaign?
Just as we anticipated in our final pre-poll survey, Danielle Smith and the United Conservatives ended up on top when all the votes were tallied. That same survey also dug into how Alberta’s wildfires may have influenced voter sentiment. Based on responses from 1,200 eligible Albertan voters from May 26 to May 28, 2023, we […]
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United Conservatives poised for victory in a very close Alberta election: Abacus Data Poll
Analyzing the final poll of an election is both an exciting and anxiety-inducing exercise, especially when the election is close. Throughout the pre-campaign and campaign periods in Alberta, I’ve tried to offer a deeper understanding of what’s going on in the province, starting with our first survey back in December. That survey suggested that Danielle […]
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Danielle Smith's UCP leading slightly in Alberta election: poll – Toronto Star
All eyes remain on battleground Calgary where the UCP appears to have a slight edge over Rachel Notley’s NDP.
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338Canada: High stakes and deadlock in Alberta – POLITICO
The Conservative and NDP leaders square off Thursday in the only debate of the campaign. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith speaks at a microphone flanked …
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Abacus Poll: UCP leads NDP in Alberta with one week to go.
After the leaders’ debate last Thursday, we launched our second last survey of the campaign to gauge what impact the debate and campaign may be having on voting intentions. The survey was conducted from May 19 to 22, 2023, and surveyed 1,507 eligible voters in Alberta online. In this report, I specifically highlight the results […]
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NDP and UCP Statistically Tied in Alberta
Over the weekend we released a new poll that found the NDP taking a lead over the UCP. Several other polls have been released or leaked which have found varying results – from a large UCP lead to a large NDP lead. So I wanted to verify and update the province-wide picture and conducted a […]
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The NDP takes the lead in Alberta
With just over two weeks to go in the Alberta provincial election, a new survey of 885 eligible voters in Alberta by Abacus Data finds the Alberta NDP jumping ahead of the UCP after several months of near or complete deadlock in vote intentions between the two parties. In this report, I’ll share results from […]
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Canadians & Health Care – 2023 Health system innovation, virtual care, mental health
On behalf of the CLHIA, Abacus Data and Spark Insights conducted a nationwide survey of 3000 adult Canadians. The interviewing was done online between February 17 and 23, 2023. This is #3 of a series of releases highlighting key findings from that study. More information can be sought from Susan Murray of CLHIA or Bruce […]
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Alberta Politics: The Issues & Who Albertans Trust Most on Them
Yesterday, we released the results of our pre-election Alberta survey looking at the horserace. The UCP and NDP are tied province-wide with the UCP slightly ahead in Calgary. Today, we share results on questions exploring public impressions of the top issues and which party they trust most to deal with them. Here’s what we found: […]
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UCP and NDP tied as the provincial election is set to kick off
As the start of the Alberta provincial election approaches, Abacus Data conducted a comprehensive province-wide survey of 1,000 eligible voters from April 21 to 25 to understand the dynamics of public opinion in the province and to track questions previously asked in our surveys. Note that this survey was conducted prior to the Calgary event […]