Abacus Data Poll: Canadians Divided on Temporary Foreign Worker Program as Generational, Regional, and Political Fault Lines Emerge
A new Abacus Data survey finds the country deeply divided on whether to eliminate Canada’s Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP), with support strongest among younger Canadians, residents of the Prairies, and Conservative voters.
Following a recent proposal by Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre to phase out the program, nearly half of Canadians say they support its elimination. While 44% support the move, 30% oppose it, and 18% are neutral or undecided.
But beneath the surface of the top-line numbers, a more fractured picture emerges. One that makes this a textbook wedge issue.
Generational divides are stark. Support for eliminating the TFWP peaks among Canadians aged 30 to 44 (50%) and 18 to 29 (48%), pointing to anxieties around wages, job opportunities, and affordability. By contrast, support dips among older Canadians. Just 37% of those aged 60 and over support the proposal indicating greater concern about workforce stability and economic disruption.
Regionally, the divide is just as pronounced. Support reaches a majority in Alberta (54%) and Saskatchewan/Manitoba (49%), while Ontario hovers close behind at 48%. In contrast, only 34% of Quebec residents support eliminating the program, making it the most resistant province.
Politically, the data reveals a clear fault line. 61% of Conservative voters support eliminating the TFWP, aligning closely with party leadership. Only 17% are oposed.
However, and why this may become an effective wedge for the Conservatives – views among past Liberal voters is almost evenly split. 37% support the idea while 39% oppose it creating a difficult position for the Carney government.
The Upshot
This could develop into one of the most divisive issues on the political landscape cutting cleanly across age, region, and political affiliation. Immigration has risen over the last three years to one of the top 5 issues in the country with close to 1 in 4 putting it in their top 3 national issues.
The proposal to end the Temporary Foreign Worker Program is more than a policy suggestion; it may be seen by many people as a litmus test for broader questions around economic fairness, national identity, and the future of Canada’s labour market.
Proponents of keeping the program in place have a clear challenge ahead: to make a compelling case that the benefits of temporary foreign workers outweigh the perceived risks. With a large segment of the public still neutral or unsure, the conversation is far from settled.
Methodology
The survey was conducted with 3,000 Canadians from September 4 to 7, 2025. A random sample of panelists were invited to complete the survey from a set of partner panels based on the Lucid exchange platform. These partners are typically double opt-in survey panels, blended to manage out potential skews in the data from a single source.
The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 1.8%, 19 times out of 20.
The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Canada’s population according to age, gender, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
Abacus Data follows the CRIC Public Opinion Research Standards and Disclosure Requirements that can be found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscouncil.ca/standards/
ABOUT ABACUS DATA
We are Canada’s most sought-after, influential, and impactful polling and market research firm. We are hired by many of North America’s most respected and influential brands and organizations.
We use the latest technology, sound science, and deep experience to generate top-flight research-based advice to our clients. We offer global research capacity with a strong focus on customer service, attention to detail, and exceptional value.
And we are growing throughout all parts of Canada and the United States and have capacity for new clients who want high quality research insights with enlightened hospitality.
Our record speaks for itself: we were one of the most accurate pollsters conducting research during the 2025 Canadian election following up on our outstanding record in the 2021, 2019, 2015, and 2011 federal elections.
Contact us with any questions.
Find out more about how we can help your organization by downloading our corporate profile and service offering.