Canadians mad at Trump tariffs; support retaliation. Millions want to do their own part.

The decision by US President Donald Trump to impose tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum has caught public attention in Canada in a way that few trade issues ever have – and Canadians are mad.

58% strongly oppose Mr. Trump’s action against Canada and another 21% oppose the US tariffs.  What’s more, Mr. Trump has managed to unite Canadians to an extent that few issues do: opposition to the US tariffs is roughly 80% in every part of the country.  Conservative voters are 82% against Mr. Trump on this issue, NDP voters 80% and Liberals 87%.

Reaction to the counter-measures announced by the Canadian government has garnered a lot of support across the country.  41% strongly support the steps taken by the Prime Minister and another 30% support those actions.  Only 19% are opposed.

Support for the retaliatory measures is 69% in Alberta and higher everywhere else. Among Conservative voters, 65% support the retaliation and 27% oppose it.  Among NDP and Liberal voters support is 79% and 84%.

When probed a bit more on the retaliation, 14% feel Canada’s actions are pointless and may bring more harm to Canada.  Three times as many (31%) feel this is the only way to build up pressure within the US for fair trade with Canada.  The majority (55%) admit to feeling these actions by Canada might or might not work, but “we must stand up for ourselves” no matter what.

The level of Canadian frustration with the US President is so high, that many Canadians are inclined to want to do what they can to send a pocketbook message to America.

About 15 million Canadians or more say they wlll avoid US wines, cross border shopping and pleasure trips to the US.  Millions say they will avoid products with Made in the USA labels, avoid US produce, and avoid buying from large US companies such as Wal-Mart, Starbucks and McDonalds.

Whether people do or don’t follow through on these feelings remains to be seen – at a minimum these results illustrate that many people feel personally offended by the US actions.

Differences in the willingness to consider personal retaliation by region or partisan affiliation are mild.  Most Conservative voters are inclined to consider taking some actions to send a message to the US, and even more Liberal and NDP voters feel this way.

UPSHOT

According to Bruce Anderson: “Donald Trump is deeply unpopular in Canada, but Canadians have been mostly content to see the federal government work diplomatically to have a constructive relationship with his administration.

His comments about and actions towards Canada have changed the way people feel about what should be done now – people sense that being agreeable and constructive might not work and that Canada must push back when aggressive and unfair statements are made about their country.

People often overstate the actions they will personally take in response to an issue of concern, so care should be taken in forecasting a northern customer backlash – but that having been said, the potential for consumers to look for simple ways to tell Americans how upset they are is there – and for some segments of the US economy, the impacts could easily be meaningful, depending on how things unfold.”

According to David Coletto: “When Canada is targeted, Canadians unite. That’s clear from our data. In the past year, we have rarely seen an action taken by the federal government that unites Canadians across regional or partisan divides, but this is one of them.

More striking is how the anger over Trump’s decision could impact consumer behaviour in Canada. As Bruce said, people may be overreporting their actual intention to buy less American, but if a campaign builds, there’s a large audience who could be compelled to show displeasure with Trump’s trade agenda with their wallets.”

METHODOLOGY

The survey was conducted online with 2,200 Canadians aged 18 and over, from June 1 to June 6, 2018. A random sample of panelists were invited to complete the survey from a set of partner panels based on the Lucid exchange platform. These partners are typically double opt-in survey panels, blended to manage out potential skews in the data from a single source.

The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association policy limits statements about margins of sampling error for most online surveys.   The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 2.1%, 19 times out of 20.

The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Canada’s population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

ABACUS DATA INC.

Abacus Data is the only firm in Canada that helps organizations deal with the unprecedented threat of generational change and technological disruption.

We offer global research capacity with a strong focus on customer service, attention to detail and value-added insight.  Our team combines the experience of our Chairman Bruce Anderson, one of Canada’s leading research executives for two decades, with the energy, creativity and research expertise of CEO David Coletto, Ph.D.

New Poll: Canadians say plastics in oceans a problem and more action needed.

In our latest national survey, we asked Canadians about a plastic garbage and oceans and waterways.  Our findings are these:

One in three (36%) say it is one of the most important environmental issues today, and another 52% say it is one of many that concern them.

More than 3 million people (14% of Canadian adults) say there is no question that they personally contribute to the problem of plastic garbage in the oceans and another 6 million (25%) feel they probably do.

Asked about a range of possible steps that governments could take, very large majority want governments to encourage retailers, consumer products companies, and restaurant chains to make changes that reduce the amount of plastic that ends up in garbage.  More than 90% also support public education campaigns and community clean ups.

While people prefer to see voluntary actions by companies, our numbers reveal almost as many people would support regulations if necessary to accomplish more progress on this issue.

Interestingly differences on this issue are modest by region, gender and age.

While Conservative voters tend to be less likely to think they are part of the problem and slightly less supportive of all the policy actions tested, the vast majority of Conservatives nonetheless support all of the measures, including more than 70% who support regulating such changes.

THE UPSHOT

According to Bruce Anderson:  As the G7 leaders meet in Charlevoix with the issue of ocean plastic garbage on their agenda, voters in Canada need no convincing that this is a problem to be dealt with. Voters here will welcome ambitious voluntary actions by companies, and will like to have opportunities to support companies that make a change for the better.  But if it turns out that voluntary actions fail to make a difference, even Canadian conservatives would be open to regulated change.

METHODOLOGY

Our survey was conducted online with 1,200 Canadians aged 18 and over from May 24 to 28, 2018. A random sample of panelists was invited to complete the survey from randomly selected Canadian adults who are members of the online panel Maru Voice Canada.

The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association policy limits statements about margins of sampling error for most online surveys.   The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 2.9%, 19 times out of 20.  The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Canada’s population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Abacus Data Inc.

We offer global research capacity with a strong focus on customer service, attention to detail and value added insight.  Our team combines the experience of our Chairman Bruce Anderson, one of Canada’s leading research executives for two decades, with the energy, creativity and research expertise of CEO David Coletto, PhD.

Will June 7th belong to the millennials?

There is less than a week till June 7th – election day for the province of Ontario.

There is a question looming over the heads of Ontario’s political parties. That is, whether millennials will turn up to vote or not and if they do, where their votes will be cast. This year, 25% of the Ontario electorate is made up of millennials (those aged 18-37). This is the first time that millennials will outnumber their boomer parents in an election. For Ontario, this is truly the first “millennial election”. For the first time in their lives, millennials can play king (or queen) maker and can decide who forms the government in Queen’s Park come June 8th. However, there is that albatross of a question, will they turn up to the polls? Historically, Canadian politicos have written off young people as a viable bloc of support, but as the millennials have matured they have begun to show up and put their collective fingers on the electoral scale. Younger voters have shifted Canadian politics before, as in the 2015 federal election. With a 20% increase of the youth voter turn out, Justin Trudeau’s Liberals were given the mandate of a majority government. We have also seen what happens when millennials stay home with the election of Donald Trump as President of the United States in 2016. So, what motivates millennials to vote? Let’s explore that question.

What is stopping millennials from voting?

Other than the classic arguments of political disenchantment and the lack of parties appealing to millennial priorities, there are several difficulties that can hinder a millennial voter from participating in their civic duty. One of the main stumbling blocks for these young voters is simply that they’re new to voting. While they might have seen mom or dad go to the voting booth and cast their ballot they don’t really know how this whole voting process works. Here are some common glass barriers that millennials tend to stumble into.

  • How to register: In most Western democracies citizens are required to register with a central voter registry for their jurisdiction to vote. For Ontario this body is Elections Ontario. For many millennials, this provincial election will be their first and while they might have heard of voter registration they don’t necessarily understand how to instigate the process. Online registration is doable online through Elections Ontario but is now closed. This may confuse millennials as they may be unsure if they can vote without pre-registering. However, it is totally acceptable to register as a voter at the polling station on voting day.
  • Work conflict: Nearly all millennials are now engaged in the labour market. Holding junior and in some cases precarious positions in their organization, they are hesitant to ask for time off to vote before the polls close. Many don’t know that they are allowed to take time off work to ensure they have 3 consecutive hours without being docked pay in order to vote.
  • Studying out-of-province: Millennials are famously the most educated generation in history. Because of this many are studying out of province or out of the country. Mailing in a ballot is a fairly simple process for most. However, for millennials who rarely use postal services the very idea of obtaining a mail-in ballot, going to a post office, purchasing a stamp, and sending your decision by snail mail is intimidating and possibly too burdensome to even bother with. There could also be confusion on the process of voting in one’s home versus school riding if the two happen to be different.
  • Not knowing the election date/candidates: This one might surprise our seasoned boomer audience, but millennials live notoriously curated lives. Ignoring traditional media almost completely and sheltered by filter bubbles as they navigate the web, it is very difficult to reach the average millennial. The Ontario Elections Act only dictates that, “the returning officer shall cause the notice to be printed and copies to be posted in conspicuous places in the electoral district.” We have two problems here, print and posts. Millennials neither read printed publications nor pay much attention to printed notices in the real world. So, unless a millennial actively searches out the electoral date and local candidate (which will start with a Google search) there is a very good chance that they simply don’t know.

Beyond these barriers, there is the real possibility that millennials are truly uninterested in the electoral options presented for them. Millennials are different than other voting segments. Both their life stage and their generational circumstance influence their policy priorities.

Which policies attract millennials?

A game-changing millennial vote requires platforms that cater to millennial concerns. In our latest ONPulse opinion poll we found that the top three millennial priorities in Ontario are housing affordability, jobs, and the economy, with healthcare tied for third. To be relevant to Ontario’s youngest and now most powerful voting bloc, party strategists need to take their priorities into account, and for this election, they have. The Ontario Liberals are addressing housing affordability by planning to maintain rent controls to making properties more attainable for new renters. The PCs are looking to improve healthcare by introducing 30,000 hospital beds to give resources to hospitals and improve wait times. The NDP are tackling job concerns by pledging to introduce 27,000 co-ops and internships for students to gain work experience in their field of study.

The three main party platforms do connect with the younger population in some regards to post-secondary education as well. The Ontario NDP promises to waive overdue OSAP debt (which includes refinancing those who paid their debt back). Liberals are looking to raise the minimum wage up to $15 and have also previously passed legislation to benefit students such as free tuition for OSAP applicants who meet the requirements. The PCs are offering a tax break for all minimum wage workers, meaning anyone working at the minimum wage – will not pay provincial taxes.

Beyond partisan promises, voting is a unique social media opportunity. Politics is, more than ever, much more than a conversation at the dinner table. When voters post online that they went out to the poll and voted, it convinces their online followers and friends to do the same. Millennials are the most connected to social media platforms, and they can be used as a form of encouragement and democratic engagement.

Diplomatic, tolerant & ethical. How Canadians think the rest of the world sees our country.

In our latest national survey, we asked Canadians questions about a range of international issues and perceptions.

CANADA’S IMAGE ABROAD

Canadians think the rest of the world sees our country is seen as tolerant (93%) diplomatic (93%) and ethical (88%). The large majority think our country is seen as an example to replicate (79%), rather than to avoid.

We’re less sure whether we are seen as strong (56%), influential (55) or a leader (45%).

Opinion is divided on whether our influence in the world has been increasing or declining.

THREATS TO CANADA

Asked about a range of possible threats to Canada, the one that stands above all others is:

President Trump’s approach to foreign affairs (this poll was taken before the recent application of tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum).

Climate change also ranked very high, along with Islamic extremism and cyber attacks.

Korea’s and Iran’s nuclear ambitions were about equally threatening.

Relatively few see China’s emergence as a world power as a threat to Canada and the same is true for the prospect of the UK leaving the European Union.

As Canada gets ready to host G7 leaders in Charlevoix Canadians have a clear sense of what should be higher or lower foreign policy priorities for the country:

Protecting the country from terror attacks is rated as a higher priority than the other items we tested. Expanding trade opportunities, fighting global climate change and ending extreme poverty were close behind.

Fewer people attached high priority to improving women’s rights, equality and economic empowerment, strengthening the United Nations, and promoting and defending human rights in other countries.

Men put expanding trade opportunities at the top of the list, while women tended to attach more importance than men to almost all the other items tested.

Younger people put more emphasis on climate change, improving women’s rights and equality, promoting human rights and ending extreme poverty. Older Canadians were more focused on terror and trade.

Liberal and NDP voters are far more likely to prioritize climate change and improving women’s equality compared to Conservative voters. Conservative voters prioritize trade and protecting Canada from terrorism.

THE UPSHOT

According to Bruce Anderson:  Canadians feel our country is well regarded around the world, an example worth emulating the way in which we engage and conduct ourselves.

Even before the imposition by President Trump of tariffs against Canadian steel and aluminum, Canadians observe his approach to foreign affairs as a serious threat to Canada’s interests.  While Canadians have not liked every President the US has elected, it’s safe to say that there has not been another comparable experience with the leader of our neighbour and top trading partner.

In terms of the foreign policy priorities people care about, protection against terror risks is at the top of the list, but lots of people also want to see a focus on expanding trade, fighting poverty, and combating climate change too.

Younger people like a more expansive agenda and older people are focused on economics and security.  The results highlight once again that NDP and Liberal voters are more similar while Conservative voters stand apart from them, notably in their relative disinterest in climate change and gender equality.

According to David Coletto: We as Canadians tend to think the world views us quite positively and global surveys confirm this expectation. We see ourselves as appearing tolerant, diplomatic, and ethical and most feel that if more countries followed our example, the world would be a better place.

But we’re also realists. Many think we are often ignored and four in ten think we’re seen as weak as opposed to strong.

Most striking to me, besides Trump’s ability to focus our attention and concern on his behaviour, is how high global climate change is on our list of perceived threats to Canada. It’s a reminder that while Canadians may not put it highest on a list of priorities for government to act on when compared with health, taxes, or housing, we aren’t ignoring climate changes’ potential threat to Canada. Even one in three Conservative Party voters says global climate change should be a top or high foreign policy priority for Canada.

Methodology

Our survey was conducted online with 1,200 Canadians aged 18 and over from May 24 to 28, 2018. A random sample of panelists was invited to complete the survey from randomly selected Canadian adults who are members of the online panel Maru Voice Canada.

The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association policy limits statements about margins of sampling error for most online surveys.   The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 2.9%, 19 times out of 20.  The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Canada’s population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Abacus Data Inc.

We offer global research capacity with a strong focus on customer service, attention to detail and value-added insight.  Our team combines the experience of our Chairman Bruce Anderson, one of Canada’s leading research executives for two decades, with the energy, creativity and research expertise of CEO David Coletto, PhD.

NL residents support Dwight Ball’s management of bullying allegations

Earlier this year, we released polling that found Newfoundland and Labrador residents were feeling quite anxious about the future of the province. Almost half felt that life in the province has become worse over the past 10 years; about half described things in the province as pretty bad or horrible, and only one in four residents were optimistic that things will get better over the next 10 years.

This month, we wanted to take a deeper look at political attitudes in the province in the wake of allegations of bullying and harassment within the provincial Liberal caucus and cabinet.

Here’s what we found:

#1: MOST RESIDENTS HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING NEWS ABOUT ALLEGATIONS OF BULLYING AND HARASSMENT WITHIN THE LIBERAL CABINET AND CAUCUS AT LEAST SOMEWHAT CLOSELY.

65% report following news of the allegations at least somewhat closely with about one in four following it very closely. More striking is that only 8% haven’t heard anything about it. Unlike other issues that often don’t get outside the political bubble in St. John’s, this issue has wide awareness, even among younger people in the province.

#2: ALMOST ALL THINK THE ALLEGATIONS ARE TRUE ALTHOUGH ABOUT HALF THINK THEY ARE LIKELY TO BE EXAGGERATED.

91% of residents think the allegations of bullying and harassment in the Liberal caucus and cabinet are likely to be true but 44% think they are likely exaggerated.  Only 2% think the allegations are likely to be false.

#3: DESPITE CRITICISM, MOST THINK PREMIER BALL HAS HANDLED THE SITUATION AT LEAST ACCEPTABLY.

51% think he has done a good or acceptable job handling the situation while 36% think he has done a poor or very poor job. Notably, those who are following the issues more closely are just as likely to think Mr. Ball has handled the issue at least acceptably.

#4: GIVEN THE RELATIVELY POSITIVE EVALUATIONS OF THE PREMIER’S PERFORMANCE, ONLY 33% THINK HE SHOULD STEP DOWN AS PREMIER AND LIBERAL LEADER.

When we ask whether the Premier should step down, 33% say yes while 47% say no. Another 21% said they were not sure. Those following the issue closely are no more likely to think he should resign. Troubling however for the Liberals, 27% of those who voted Liberal in the past provincial election think he should step down.

#5: DWIGHT BALL HAS THE MOST NEGATIVE IMPRESSIONS BUT HE’S ALSO THE MOST WELL KNOWN. BOTH CHES CROSBIE AND GERRY ROGERS ARE LARGELY UNKNOWN.

Over four in ten residents have a negative impression of Mr. Ball while 24% view him positively. A majority of residents have either a neutral or don’t have an impression of both PC Leader Ches Crosbie and NDP Leader Gerry Rogers.

#6: IF AN ELECTION WAS HELD TODAY, THE PCs WOULD HAVE A SLIGHT LEAD OVER THE LIBERALS BUT OVER FOUR IN TEN ARE UNDECIDED.

Forty-one percent of respondents said they are undecided about who they would vote for if an election was held today in the province. That’s down 7 from January but still quite high in our experience polling in jurisdictions across Canada.

The PCs led by Ches Crosbie have the support of 24% of residents statistically tied with the Liberals at 22%. The NDP is in third at 13%.

When we look at only decided voters, the PCs would get 40% followed by the Liberals at 38%, and the NDP at 22%. This represents a 6-point increase for the Tories and a 3-point drop for the Liberals.

Liberal support is stronger in Labrador and western Newfoundland while the Tories are stronger on the Avalon Peninsula and in east and central Newfoundland.  We also find that PC support is consistent across age groups while the NDP does better among younger residents and the Liberals do better among older ones.

#7: MOST FEEL THE PROVINCE IS HEADED IN THE WRONG DIRECTION

A majority of residents think the province is headed in the wrong direction while only one in four think it’s headed in the right direction. Most troubling for the incumbent Liberals is that almost a majority (48%) of those who voted Liberal in 2014 think the province is off on the wrong track.

#8:  BUDGET DEFICIT & FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES FOR YOUNG PEOPLE MAKE THE MOST ANXIOUS. INFRASTRUCTURE AND GOOD JOBS ALSO SEEN AS MAJOR PROBLEMS.

When we ask residents to diagnosis the problems facing Newfoundland and Labrador, majorities point to the provincial deficit and finances and future opportunities for young people in the province as “very big problems”.  In fact, except for the quality of schools, at least four in ten residents felt that all issues were very big problems.

UPSHOT

While the allegations of harassment in the Liberal caucus have received broad attention from the public, their impact on the political fortunes of the Liberal Party and Premier Ball specifically remain uncertain.

Most still think the province is headed in the wrong direction and concern about the budget deficit remains high but the Liberals remain competitive with the PCs largely because so many residents are undecided about how they would vote.

Mr. Ball’s negatives are high but not as high as we see among incumbents in other provinces and right now his rivals are largely unknown.

More time will be needed to really understand the impact of the allegations on the political system but there doesn’t appear to be a lot of public pressure on Mr. Ball to resign. But with one in five unsure, that could change in time.

METHODOLOGY

Our hybrid telephone/web survey was conducted with 800 Newfoundland and Labrador adults between May 18 to 27, 2018.  500 interviews were conducted online with panelists recruited from LegerWeb’s panel. Another 300 interviews were conducted randomly by telephone using both mobile phones and landlines.

The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association policy limits statements about margins of sampling error for most online surveys. The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of 800 is +/- 3.5%, 19 times out of 20.

The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Newfoundland and Labrador’s population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Millennial Month Wrap-up

April has been a fun month for us here at Abacus. For the last 30 days we have been sharing our findings from Canada’s largest reoccurring study on Millennials, The Canadian Millennials Report. In our first week we learnt that housing affordability, access to good jobs, and student debt are the major concerns that are keeping Millennials up at night. Unlike their parent’s generation, where healthcare and the economy trumped their list of personal fears Millennials are hard pressed to find an affordable roof over their heads while their student loans and uncertain employment future has take its toll on their inherent optimism.

We also talked about the rising political power of Millennials. Millennial voter participation rose by 20 per cent in the last federal election and carried the Liberal Party to electoral victory. There’s no surprise why Prime Minister Trudeau appointed himself Minister for Youth. This follows trends in the UK where Labour experienced a huge upswing in support disproportionately coming from Millennials. Also in Italy with the rise of the Five Star movement, and it echoes the youth mobilization of the 2008 Obama Presidential campaign. Millennials have a different set of priorities than previous generations and they respond to different calls to actions, (e.g. more positive and direct). As they become the majority of the electorate, partisans will have to fight on a new battlefield for Millennial favour.

In week two we looked at Millennial concepts of identity. One thing we particularly examined was the Millennials’ perceptions of their own generation. The majority of Canadian Millennials are familiar with the term that describes their generation. Interestingly, the words they used to describe the Millennial generation were far from pleasant, “entitled, needy, and lazy”, were just some of the most popular words they used. And even more interesting, was that the majority (54%) of Canadian Millennials think that these words accurately describe their generation. So while most Millennials will answer to their generational name, they might not appreciate the negative connotations associated with it.

One of our pieces in week two got a little nerdy. You see, rare does a week go by where someone doesn’t ask us about the legitimacy of the claimed  significant differences between generations. So our CEO David Coletto, took to the cyberspace to explain the environmental and statistical differences of the Millennial generation. What we found that there are some relationships that don’t make sense unless you factor in generation. From news consumption habits to home environments, a Millennial, Gen Xer, and a Boomer have differences that can’t be explained away by life stage. If you don’t want to get blind sided by generational change, this one is a must read.

In our third week we shifted our focus to Millennials and technology. We looked at why Millennials stay loyal to new tech brands but so willingly break ties to news providers and even financial institutions. It turns out, that if you put in the effort and speak to Millennials where they are, it doesn’t matter if you sell burritos or iPhones, loyalty is accrued. Nevertheless, Millennials do seem to cling to the fresh new Silicon Valley start-ups with an unusual persistence. We also took a look at the halo effect that surrounds the Valley and the residence within. Despite contributing, in some cases, nearly half as much as the old economy firms to charities and humanitarian work, Millennials still perceive the Amazons, Apples, Googles, and Facebooks of the world (even despite Zuckerberg’s recent row) as almost twice as ethical. Although we discussed a number of reasons, simply being the newest player on the block might just be the key to their success.

These were just some of our findings and if you would like to review all that Millennial Month has to offer, visit our main site. While Millennial Month might be over we will continue to research and report on generational change and technological disruption. The next wave of the Canadian Millennials Report will launch in May 2018. The Report is Canada’s largest reoccurring study of Millennials, providing insight on their use of technology, financial situation, political priorities, and societal outlooks. If you are interested in the Report, don’t hesitate to visit the Canadian Millennials Report site where we house all things Millennial.

And while you’re here, why don’t you check out our work on ONPulse. If you want thoughtful up-to-date analysis and the most accurate data on the upcoming Ontario election you are going to love ONPulse. A partnership with Summa Strategies, Spark* Advocacy, and Abacus Data you’ll be in the know before anyone else about the nuances of the Ontario political environment.

At Abacus Data we take understanding the next generation seriously. We are the only research and strategy firm that can help your business or organization respond to the unprecedented threat of generational change and technological disruption. If you want to know how your business or organization can succeed in the Millennial Marketplace Contact us to learn about our array of bespoke products and services that can make you an industry leader.

The Wearable Revolution: Millennials are leading the wearable movement

On our Canadian Millennials site we previously wrote a post on the #Selfcare phenomenon that has seized the Millennial generation -if you haven’t had a chance to read it I highly recommend you check it out. That post and your conversation got us thinking about how Millennial views on health and healthy lifestyles are unique as compared to other generations. Millennials, like every generation before them, have their health quirks and fads. From jazzercise to going paleo, the human race has tried everything to stay in shape. Today we will be looking at how Millennials integrate technology into their lifestyles in the hopes of becoming healthier.

With the advent of wearable technology and their corresponding applications it has never been easier to incorporate data into your regular workout routine. In the past, you needed the budget and resources of an elite Soviet athlete to get the level of statistical insights we now might consider trivial, not to mention all that clunky machinery.

Wearable tech like the Fitbit has been adopted by Millennials to optimize their exercise experience. It, with corresponding applications, informs the wearer of anything from how many steps they’ve taken to how many carbs and nutrients they have consumed. The modern-day personal trainer isn’t at the local gym but rather on your arm and in the cloud.

Alright, so knowing your heart beat per minute ratio is one thing but now what do you do with that? This is where the gamification of data makes things interesting. Gamification is a term first coined by Nick Pelling, a British computer programmer and technology philosopher. It refers to the incorporation of game-like elements into areas where they previously did not exist (Pelling: 2002). So data is great but what if you added daily goals, the ability to compete with your friends and family, and even obtain rewards for reaching certain goals? A study by PricewaterhouseCooper indicated that 64% of Millennials believed that they would be more likely to use wearable technology if it had some sort of gaming component to it (PWC: 2014). Additionally, 52% of Millennials in the same study said that they would use a wearable device if it had an in-app rewards feature (PWC: 2014). That being said, gamification has its limits. When asked if they would mind if their personal information was shared with friends and family on their behalf only 14% of Millennials said they would not mind (PWC: 2014). The other 96% were hesitant to share personal information without some level of control. Therefore, it is important to remembers that even though we might think of Millennials as these opensource digital natives, privacy is still a genuine right they value and they want to control the personal information they share, even in the context of a ‘game’.

Now, there are dozens of devices and hundreds of apps that are designed to track your exercise data and to improve your performance. Nearly every major sports retailer from Adidas to Nike to Under Armour has developed an exercise app of their own and has integrated corresponding technology into their apparel. So great is demand for wearable technology, specifically among Millennials, it is estimated that by 2018 the wearable tech sector will be worth between $6 billion (PWC: 2014) to $12 billion (Business Insider: 2014) globally with approximately 17% of the wearables market being devoted to health and fitness applications (Ogilvy & Mather: 2014).

Let’s take a look at two companies that are on the leading edge of this wave of wearable tech.

Orangetheory Fitness

Orangetheory Fitness combines the traditional experience of the gym with the personalization of wearable technology. Every gym-goer is paired with a Fitbit-like wristband which monitors their vitals as they participate in traditional gym circuit training. Orangetheory uses their clients’ personal data to create individual goals and exercise plans. Over the past four years the gym franchise has almost doubled every year. In 2016 alone Orangetheory opened one storefront for each day of the year.

Carrot Rewards

Carrot Rewards is an app the links to your smart phone. It records steps you take and sets goals to encourage healthy life styles. The major component of Carrot Rewards is that with every goal achieved the user receives points which can be redeemed towards monetary rewards. Developed by the Provincial Government of British Columbia in partnership with the federal government and other private partners it also acts as an information conduit for the province to relay pertinent personalized healthcare information to users directly. The information collected can also be operationalized to enhance healthcare delivery in the province based on the lifestyle insights the province gleans from user data.

Wearable tech has applications in both the private and public sectors and is successfully being used to enhance service deliver across fields. While the healthcare field is perhaps the largest wearable sector at the moment wearable technologies have the ability to revolutionize and enhance other sectors such as travel, entertainment, and administration and is set to perforate every area of our lives.

Millennials are embracing the world of wearable technology and the market place is happily obliging. All the trend lines are indicating and the markets are proving that Millennials will continue to adopt wearable technology into different facets of their lives. As Douglas Atkin, Global Head of Communities at AirBnB says, “In the distant future, we’ll forget the idea of engaging in technology at all. We’ll sallow it, absorb it, and wear it, without us really thinking we’re engaging it at all.”

Want to know more about Millennials views on tech? Check out the Canadian Millennials Report which is Canada’s largest reoccurring syndicated publication dedicated to understanding the views of Canadian Millennials. We survey 2,000 Millennials twice a year tracking their attitudes over time and their perceptions of current issues.

At Abacus Data we take understanding the next generation seriously. We are the only research and strategy firm that can help your business or organization respond to the unprecedented threat of generational change and technological disruption. If you want to know how your business or organization can succeed in the Millennial Marketplace Contact us to learn about our array of bespoke products and services that can make you an industry leader.

Digital Halos: The next generation of social license

“Silicon Valley start-up”

Now tell me, after reading those words what was the first thing that came to your mind? Well, if you’ve been watching the news you probably thought of Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg talking to the US Government House and Senate committees over allegations of misuse of user data. But once your mind travelled beyond that you probably reflected on Google’s playhouse/office space or Apple’s sleek cult of products. Generally, we have a vision of smart, innovative firms staffed by cool young people that are fantastically smart and build revolutionary products. They are generally ecologically conscious, treat people fairly, and give back to their communities.

When we ask Millennials to describe what an ethical company looked like, descriptions like the ones above were provided. So, it was no surprise that when we asked Millennials to rank a series of companies on how ethical they were that new economy tech firms held the top spots.

“The Four,” Google, Amazon, Facebook, and Apple were all at the top of our list. And despite the negative headlines some of them get, Millennials are simply enamored with these companies and their technological marvels. Covered by slogans like, “don’t be evil” –Google, “the everything store” –Amazon, “move fast, break things” –Facebook, or “think differently” –Apple; people, especially Millennials, are willing to forgive slip-ups and mis-steps and perceive these companies as sterling ethical actors.  However, if we were to quantify ethicality, say by how much each company spends on their corporate social responsibility initiatives, we find that perception isn’t necessarily correlated with money spent. Looking at education initiatives for instance, the area that we have the best data for and an area that is prioritized by all of “The Four”, we find that none of them are in the top ten education spenders. Those positions are held by: Banco Santander ($197m), IBM ($144m), Telefonica ($130m), Exxon Mobil ($116), Target ($95m), GlaxoSmithKline ($87m), Microsoft ($87m), Toyota Motor ($84m), Rio Tinto Group ($82m), Wells Fargo ($82m), as calculated by UNESCO and the Varkey Foundation.

This halo effect isn’t new nor is it a simply Millennial trait. Looking back a little over a century ago, we can find the same halos surrounding the early American industrialists like the steel enterprises of Carnegie and the assembly lines of Ford, and textile mills of east coast. These now “old economy” firms were once new, and generated similar excitement to our present-day technological titans. Carnegie’s steel mills were known for their hellish working conditions, Ford was known for his skimpy wages, and the mills were a congress of child labour. Yet, they were shiny, new, and an ocean removed from most critical Europe (not that conditions were any better there).

There is a quote from Douglas Adams, author of The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy, in which he describes the 3 rules of human reaction to technology.

“Rule 1: Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural
part of the way the world works.

Rule 2: Anything that’s invented between when you’re fifteen and thirty-five is new and exciting and
revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.

Rule 3: Anything invented after you’re thirty-five is against the natural order of things.”

This colloquialism, pretty well describes the generational difference in company perception. Even within the Millennial cohort we see that those born before 1990 have a slightly less paradisiacal view of these companies, scoring them on average 3 points less ethical than those born after 1990. And this inflection point coincides with those who can remember a life before the internet and those that can’t. To the younger half of Millennials, Facebook is all they have known, its actions that Boomers take so much offense to barely registers on the Millennials’ radar. To them, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, and Google are operating how they’ve always done. They are part of the natural order of things and their rhetoric and organizational culture acts as the baseline for how Millennials expect companies to act. These halos, fade with time but generally seem to follow generations as they get older. So will these silicon angels fall from grace? Save a major scandal, probably not. But will these halos fade? Most definitely. New becomes old and innovative becomes archaic these tech start-ups are enjoying the usual favour of all new companies without a history. Millennials who have grown up with them enjoy them because the make modern life possible, just as the steel mills and textile factors of the last century made modern life useful. The next generation will have its darlings, and well see how these Millennial companies fair in the eyes of the next generation.

The majority of this data came from the Canadian Millennials Report which is Canada’s largest reoccurring syndicated publication dedicated to understanding the views of Canadian Millennials. We survey 2,000 Millennials twice a year tracking their attitudes over time and their perceptions of current issues.

At Abacus Data we take understanding the next generation seriously. We are the only research and strategy firm that can help your business or organization respond to the unprecedented threat of generational change and technological disruption. If you want to know how your business or organization can succeed in the Millennial Marketplace Contact us to learn about our array of bespoke products and services that can make you an industry leader.

Generational change in the marketplace: A question of loyalty

We often hear how Millennials are disrupting traditional powerhouse brands with their serial disloyalty. For example, where the traditional choices might be Coca-Cola or Pepsi, Millennials are saying, “Neither, I’ll take the ethically brewed, organic kombucha that’s made at my local co-op.” This has been repeated in industry after industry, from financial advisors to publishing houses Millennials and the new technologies of today are leaving wounded multi-million dollar titans in their wake. There is however, one industry where Millennials show the loyalty once garnered by the acolytes PAN-AM or Marlboro. Brand loyalty can still be found today in the mobile phone industry.

There may be many reasons why Millennials have maintained their loyalty to their cellphone brand but they all have their foundation in the tumultuous period of the Mobile Phone Wars of the early 2000s.

The war to end all wars:

Many have suggested that the loyalty these cellphone giants enjoy were hard fought for in what has come to be known as the “Mobile Phone” or “Smart Phone” wars of 2008-2012. In 2008 Nokia, Blackberry, and Motorola were the largest players on the block. They won their market shares in the late 80s during the cell phone revolution and now were enjoying the fruits of their economies of scale. Sitting on their laurels, these cellular giants watched as a newly rebranded computer company, Apple, unveiled a peculiarly named but highly stylized mobile device. On January 2, 2007 in San Francisco the iPhone was unveiled to the world and the unbeknownst to the lumbering behemoths the first lines of the mobile phone wars had been drawn. Over the ensuing 4 years these and other mobile and technology companies, including Google and Samsung, would be involved in upwards of 4000 legal injunctions involving no fewer than 2 841 disputed patents. To put that in perspective, that means 3 new suits or legal actions were introduced every day in the 4-year time period. And besides these legal battles consumers can remember the battle for our hearts and minds. How could we forget the creative and iconic advertisements of that era? Whether it be dancing silhouettes, clever Mac’s and our doting PC’s or subway fisticuffs with our mobile devices we were drawn to a phone provider like a fly to a light.

When the dust settled in 2013 Nokia had fallen, Motorola was acquired, and Blackberry became the sick man of mobile. And where these forerunners once stood California’s Apple and South Korea’s Samsung lay triumphant. Both attained the largest market share but of the two companies, one has experienced a loyalty envied by religious leaders and politicians alike. And at whose alter do Millennials bow before as apostles of the brand the most? Apple.

Both Apple and Samsung have their brand ambassadors. You ask a Samsung devotee and they will tell you that Samsung’s are for the unpretentiously smart worker. The technological professional that does not want to be bound by limiting operating systems and hardware silos. Apples followers will tell you that their ilk is a cut above the rest. Valuing both design and functionality, an Apple bearer is ahead of the trends and is more creative than your average joe-Android.

In our latest survey of Canadian Millennials—the Canadian Millennials Report is the largest reoccurring Millennial study in Canada—Abacus asked them about their mobile devices. Today, Apple holds 51% of the Millennial cellphone market. This is highest among young Millennials born in 1995 and later (31%) and lowest among Millennials born in 1984 and earlier (20%). Samsung controls around 35% of the market share where as the rest of the mobile phone companies are left to fight over the remain 14%. The gender breakdown of these brands is unique. The iPhone loyalist are more likely to be women by a factor of 1.5 where Samsung has a greater balance between genders, about a 50/50 split. The interesting numbers come up when we look at third-party cellphones like Google, Lenovo, or Huawei. The third-party market is dominated by older Millennial men (60% of the market) particularly those in their late 20s and early 30s. We were also curious to see if geographical location had any effect on brand adoption. Overall, phone preference across Canada is pretty much the same. Apple and Samsung dominate in most provinces except New Brunswick where there is a three way race between the big two and third-party companies. Although we can’t be certain why this is the case, there is the possibility that the relatively high price points of the big two make attaining them more difficult in the depressed Maritime economy making lower-priced third-party phones seem more attractive.

But moving past New Brunswick’s non-conformist phenomenon we found that there were other surprising differences between the company faithful. For instance, somewhat to our surprise, Apple’s acolytes were more likely to believe in God than any other company cohort (54%). Samsung believers are more likely to be atheist with 56% stating that they don’t believe in the Semitic interpretation of an almighty being. Third-party devote were just as likely as Samsung users to be atheist. We’re not reading too much into this one. While we’ll keep an eye out for a trend as we survey more Millennials later this year, to say that an Apple user is literally holier than thou…you know, there might actually be something here, catch up with us in the fall when we publish the next wave of our Canadian Millennial Report. At any rate we also found that Apple was the product of choice for Canada’s highly educated Millennials. Those who have completed post-graduate studies were the more likely to have an iPhone than a Samsung. Samsung is the “working man’s” phone being on average two points higher than Apple for those Millennials that have completed college or some university or have lower educational attainment. The same can be said for income. Millennials with higher incomes tend to prefer iPhones where as Millennials with lower incomes tend to prefer Samsung or in the case of those that make less than $35,000 per year, a third-party phone.

So, while Millennials haven’t clung-on to old-economy powerhouses like Coca-Cola or IBM they are willing to be loyal to firms that grab their attention. Less we forget the Coca-Cola vs Pepsi advertising wars in the 70s and 80s or the Colgate vs Crest in the 50s and 60s. Firms in the market that compete for attention will get attention, those that sit back and lay on their historic spoils are likely to be found along the way-side of modernity as the connections forged with older generations fade into distant memory. If firms want to be relevant to the next generation they need to compete for their attention and link their product to what’s important to Millennials.


The majority of this data came from the Canadian Millennials Report which is Canada’s largest reoccurring syndicated publication dedicated to understanding the views of Canadian Millennials. We survey 2,000 Millennials twice a year tracking their attitudes over time and their perceptions of current issues.

At Abacus Data we take understanding the next generation seriously. We are the only research and strategy firm that can help your business or organization respond to the unprecedented threat of generational change and technological disruption. If you want to know how your business or organization can succeed in the Millennial Marketplace Contact us to learn about our array of bespoke products and services that can make you an industry leader.

Millennials – a unified tribe or disjointed mob: Millennial Self-Identity

Entitled, narcissistic, tech savvy, needy, immediate gratification, these were the top five descriptions that Baby Boomers came up with to describe their offspring, the Millennial generation. Lazy, entitled, spotty employment, tech savvy, educated, these were the top five descriptions Millennials used to describe themselves! More than half (53%) of Millennials agree that these terms accurately describe their generation. Despite the negative connotation of many of the labels Millennials themselves say that while negative, they are nevertheless accurate.

Now, often in research we witness the phenomenon of group disassociation. This is when a person describes the group they belong to (say Millennials) but removes themselves from that stereotype. Generally speaking, people don’t like to associate themselves with a negative reputation and recognizing that the majority of the labels associated with Millennial generation are negative we wondered if this phenomenon was occurring here. That is, while most Millennials agree that the terms are accurate to describe their generation, they themselves don’t count themselves as one of those stereotypical Millennials. So, we asked Millennials whether or not they personally identified with the label Millennial. And what we found was that despite the negative connotation, 68% of Canadians born between 1980 and 2000 still self-identified with the title “Millennial”. Looking at these audacious numbers we decided to dig a little deeper.

We wondered if age was a factor in self-identification, that is, if older or younger Millennials were more or less likely to think of themselves as a Millennial. Of those born at the beginning of Millennial age (1980-1983) we see that only about 1 in 10 actually take on the name Millennial. Yet, as we get to the younger cohorts we find this name adoption increases where more than double (28%) of 18-21 year olds strongly self-identify as a Millennial.

So, what does all of this mean? Well, for starters, much like the Baby Boomer generation most Millennials take on the name of their generation. Further, they accept that there are a number of negative stereotypes that come along with the title. Nevertheless, they feel like those stereotypes are pretty accurate. Perhaps this means that the taboo of marketing to Millennials is overblown. What our research also told us is that generation isn’t the strongest bond for this generation as it may have been for the Boomers. If you ask most Boomers who grew up in Western countries, you’ll find that they had fairly similar experiences. Typically, each belonged to a nuclear family unit, learnt similar skills in school, and can remember the same historic events which defined their time: the Cuban missile crisis, the moon landing, the death of Princess Diana or Kennedy, etc. Millennials haven’t had those historically uniting moments. For instance, in the cases of 9/11 the London bombings, or the middle eastern wars half of the Millennial generation was under the age of 11 when they occurred and for the majority, these events failed to directly impact their lives. While Millennials still agree that a generational label to describe common characteristics across their generation applies to them, they find that they can better relate to people of their same gender, members of their family, or those that share the same personal interests.

In practical application here are a few things to take away. First, Millennials, will answer to the name Millennial but know that it is accompanied with a lot of negative stereotypes. Second, Millennials for the most part haven’t had a common experience so messages that call back of late 80s and 90s nostalgia will only go so far. That contrasts with the Boomer generation who might be the most nostalgic generation since the survivors of the Great Depression, ask them to tell you how great the 60s were sometime. Millennials are more segmented. They unite along interests, their professions, and their familial upbringing. Targeted calls to action to motivate this generation, whether it be to buy a product or vote for a political party are needed more than had been necessary with the Baby Boomer generation. In sum, Millennials are a self-identifying generation, they are hard to reach, and are familiar with self-deprecation. You can reach them and mobilize them, but it takes a concerted effort.

The majority of this data came from the Canadian Millennials Report which is Canada’s largest reoccurring syndicated publication dedicated to understanding the views of Canadian Millennials. We survey 2,000 Millennials twice a year tracking their attitudes over time and their perceptions of current issues.

At Abacus Data we take understanding the next generation seriously. We are the only research and strategy firm that can help your business or organization respond to the unprecedented threat of generational change and technological disruption. If you want to know how your business or organization can succeed in the Millennial Marketplace Contact us to learn about our array of bespoke products and services that can make you an industry leader.