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Tired of hyper confident predictions? Here’s something different.

By Bruce Anderson In case you feel you’ve had enough supremely confident predictions about what will happen in today’s election, rest easy, this won’t add to that total. Who turns out to vote in this unusual circumstance is not complete guesswork – our data and that of other firms are somewhat helpful, but there’s enough
Tired of hyper confident predictions? Here’s something different.

Abacus Data’s Final Poll: Conservatives and Liberals are statistically tied on the eve of Election Day in Canada

ABACUS DATA’S FINAL POLL FOR #ELXN44 Earlier today we completed our final survey of Election 44, interviewing 2,431 Canadians eligible to vote from Friday to Sunday at 1:30pm ET. Here is our take on Canadian public opinion as polling stations are set to open tomorrow morning. THE MOOD OF THE COUNTRY & THE DESIRE FOR
Abacus Data’s Final Poll: Conservatives and Liberals are statistically tied on the eve of Election Day in Canada

Daily #elxn44 Tracking: September 18

In the final days of the 2021 Canadian general election, our team is tracking public opinion and intentions about the election daily. Each evening from Wednesday, September 15 to Saturday, September 18, we will be releasing the results of a three-day rolling poll of about 1,500 eligible voters who say they will definitely be voting
Daily #elxn44 Tracking: September 18

Daily #elxn44 Tracking: September 17

In the final days of the 2021 Canadian general election, our team is tracking public opinion and intentions about the election daily. Each evening from Wednesday, September 15 to Saturday, September 18, we will be releasing the results of a three-day rolling poll of about 1,500 eligible voters who say they will definitely be voting
Daily #elxn44 Tracking: September 17

Daily #elxn44 Tracking: September 16

In the final days of the 2021 Canadian general election, our team is tracking public opinion and intentions about the election daily. Each evening from Wednesday, September 15 to Saturday, September 18, we will be releasing the results of a three-day rolling poll of about 1,500 eligible voters who say they will definitely be voting
Daily #elxn44 Tracking: September 16

Daily #elxn44 Tracking: September 15

In the final days of the 2021 Canadian general election, our team is tracking public opinion and intentions about the election daily. Each evening from Wednesday, September 15 to Saturday, September 18, we will be releasing the results of a three-day rolling poll of about 1,500 eligible voters who say they will definitely be voting
Daily #elxn44 Tracking: September 15

Abacus Election Bulletin: The top 4 data shifts, so far.

Each day during the 2021 Federal Election campaign, researchers at Abacus Data will share insights and analysis from our polling in concise, insights-focused reports. To never miss our polls and analysis, subscribe to our newsletter. By Oksana Kishchuk Over the last four weeks we’ve been tracking a lot of data points about the federal election.
Abacus Election Bulletin: The top 4 data shifts, so far.

One week to go: Conservatives and Liberals still locked in a tie but Liberals open up clear leads in Ontario and Quebec

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,000 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election completed entirely after the French and English leaders’ debates last week. If an election were held now, the Conservatives would win 32% of the vote (unchanged), the Liberals 32% (unchanged), the NDP
One week to go: Conservatives and Liberals still locked in a tie but Liberals open up clear leads in Ontario and Quebec

Conservatives and Liberals locked in a tie; TVA debate has limited impact.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,875 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election completed entirely after last Thursday’s TVA debate. Fieldwork was carried out from Friday to Monday. If an election were held now, the Conservatives would win 32% of the vote (-1 from our
Conservatives and Liberals locked in a tie; TVA debate has limited impact.

16 Days to Go: A statistical tie between the Liberals and Conservatives as those thinking the Conservatives will win continues to rise

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,692 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election (September 1 to 4, 2021). 62% of the interviews were done after the TVA French-language debate on Thursday evening. We will have a new release out on Tuesday with a large sample
16 Days to Go: A statistical tie between the Liberals and Conservatives as those thinking the Conservatives will win continues to rise
Good decisions require good data.