Canadian Politics Update: A more competitive political landscape

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Over the late summer, Canada’s political situation became more competitive, as Liberal Party support dipped, and the Conservatives saw gains. Today, an election would see 39% vote Liberal, 35% Conservative and 15% NDP. The biggest regional races show a dead heat in Ontario, a narrowing Liberal lead in BC,

As Conservatives Choose and the NDP Race Heats Up, Where Things Stand in Canadian Politics.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto It’s been just over a year and a half since the last federal election. Conservatives across the country have been mailing in ballots and their new leader will be known next weekend. The NDP race may now have a final lineup set and switch into a higher gear. As

Is Prime Minister Trudeau losing the Millennials?

By David Coletto Recently, a CBC opinion journalist asserted that Millennials had “finally fallen out of love” with Justin Trudeau because of his decision not to pursue electoral reform. The argument was that electoral reform was so important to Millennials that this breach of faith was a final straw in the relationship. Millennials are those

After My Democracy, Castro, ‘cash for access’, pipelines, climate plan, Liberals end the year well ahead, but off their summer peak

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Our latest nationwide public opinion survey explored a wide variety of topics. Our first release describes the current state of federal politics, including reactions to a variety of events and decisions. Here’s what we see: Party support has seen some softening in recent weeks, but remains at levels roughly

Canadian Politics: Broad Support for New Government

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto 1 in 2 say they Would Vote Liberal Tomorrow In our latest nationwide poll, fully 49% say that they would vote Liberal if there was an election today, signalling that the early choices made by the Trudeau government have been generally well received by voters. Conservative support today stands

The Case for Change vs. The Case for No Change

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Canadians split on whether the country is on the right track 37% of Canadians say the country is on the wrong track while 36% feel the opposite. Since the beginning of the campaign, the country has been remarkably split, an indicator of just why this election is so hard

Election 2015: Blue vs. Red; Orange flagging.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Liberals continue to edge upward, NDP downward In our latest horserace numbers, the Conservatives have 33% across the country, the Liberals 32%, and the NDP 24%. For both the Conservatives and Liberals these are the best levels of support we’ve seen since the election started; for the NDP, it

NDP facing headwinds as support drops in Quebec.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto In our latest nationwide poll, only 5 points separates the Conservatives (32%) Liberals (29%) and NDP (27%). However, underneath the national figures, important trends have been developing in Quebec and Ontario, where 199 of the country’s 338 seats are at stake.  The number of undecided voters in our sample

Canadian Politics: Lots of voters prefer change. Few fear it.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Economic evaluations remain more positive than negative Feelings about the economy are mixed news for all of Canada’s major political parties right now.  57% say the economy is good/very good, 43% rate it as poor/very poor. For the Conservatives, it is better that a majority see the economy as

Canadian Politics: 5 points separate 3 contenders, new poll finds.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto NDP by a nose Our latest horserace “who would you vote for tomorrow” question has the NDP, at 32% followed by the Conservatives at 29 and the Liberals at 27%. Since February, the NDP have picked up 11 points while the Liberals have lost 7 and the Conservatives have

Good decisions require good data.