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Ontario PCs lead by 9 over Liberals as 2022 begins and election looms

By David Coletto Ontario is likely heading to the polls in early June 2022 and over the next months, our team will track public opinion and preferences in the lead-up to the campaign. This is part of our team’s expansion in Toronto.  We have opened a new office in downtown Toronto and will be focusing

Public mood sours and federal government approval steady as Omicron cases rise.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We completed a national survey of 2,200 Canadian adults from January 7 to 12, 2022. Here’s a snapshot of our findings. PUBLIC MOOD & GOVERNMENT APPROVAL Since early December, the mood of the country has soured as Omicron has spread and anxiety about the pandemic has increased. Today, 37%

A Throne Speech Meets a Distracted Public. Liberals and Conservatives neck and neck.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We completed a national survey of 2,025 Canadian adults from November 25 to 30, 2021. Here’s a snapshot of our findings. SPEECH FROM THE THRONE One in three people didn’t know there was a Speech from the Throne, and another half only heard about it.  Fewer than one in

What are Canadians thinking before the new federal government is sworn in?

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We completed a national survey of 2,220 Canadian adults from October 15 to 20, 2021 to measure sentiment just prior to a new federal Cabinet being sworn in. PUBLIC MOOD & GOVERNMENT APPROVAL About equal numbers feel things in Canada are headed in the right direction (43%) than those

Tired of hyper confident predictions? Here’s something different.

By Bruce Anderson In case you feel you’ve had enough supremely confident predictions about what will happen in today’s election, rest easy, this won’t add to that total. Who turns out to vote in this unusual circumstance is not complete guesswork – our data and that of other firms are somewhat helpful, but there’s enough

Abacus Data’s Final Poll: Conservatives and Liberals are statistically tied on the eve of Election Day in Canada

ABACUS DATA’S FINAL POLL FOR #ELXN44 Earlier today we completed our final survey of Election 44, interviewing 2,431 Canadians eligible to vote from Friday to Sunday at 1:30pm ET. Here is our take on Canadian public opinion as polling stations are set to open tomorrow morning. THE MOOD OF THE COUNTRY & THE DESIRE FOR

One week to go: Conservatives and Liberals still locked in a tie but Liberals open up clear leads in Ontario and Quebec

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,000 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election completed entirely after the French and English leaders’ debates last week. If an election were held now, the Conservatives would win 32% of the vote (unchanged), the Liberals 32% (unchanged), the NDP

Conservatives and Liberals locked in a tie; TVA debate has limited impact.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,875 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election completed entirely after last Thursday’s TVA debate. Fieldwork was carried out from Friday to Monday. If an election were held now, the Conservatives would win 32% of the vote (-1 from our

16 Days to Go: A statistical tie between the Liberals and Conservatives as those thinking the Conservatives will win continues to rise

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,692 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election (September 1 to 4, 2021). 62% of the interviews were done after the TVA French-language debate on Thursday evening. We will have a new release out on Tuesday with a large sample

Into week three, the Liberals (33%) and Conservatives (32%) are neck and neck, with the NDP trailing at 22%. But Conservatives are now ahead among likely voters.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,000 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election (August 24 to 29, 2021). Here’s what we are seeing: CURRENT VOTE INTENTION If an election were held now, the Liberals would win 33% of the vote (unchanged from last week), the

Good decisions require good data.