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Tired of hyper confident predictions? Here’s something different.

By Bruce Anderson In case you feel you’ve had enough supremely confident predictions about what will happen in today’s election, rest easy, this won’t add to that total. Who turns out to vote in this unusual circumstance is not complete guesswork – our data and that of other firms are somewhat helpful, but there’s enough

Abacus Data’s Final Poll: Conservatives and Liberals are statistically tied on the eve of Election Day in Canada

ABACUS DATA’S FINAL POLL FOR #ELXN44 Earlier today we completed our final survey of Election 44, interviewing 2,431 Canadians eligible to vote from Friday to Sunday at 1:30pm ET. Here is our take on Canadian public opinion as polling stations are set to open tomorrow morning. THE MOOD OF THE COUNTRY & THE DESIRE FOR

One week to go: Conservatives and Liberals still locked in a tie but Liberals open up clear leads in Ontario and Quebec

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,000 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election completed entirely after the French and English leaders’ debates last week. If an election were held now, the Conservatives would win 32% of the vote (unchanged), the Liberals 32% (unchanged), the NDP

Conservatives and Liberals locked in a tie; TVA debate has limited impact.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,875 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election completed entirely after last Thursday’s TVA debate. Fieldwork was carried out from Friday to Monday. If an election were held now, the Conservatives would win 32% of the vote (-1 from our

16 Days to Go: A statistical tie between the Liberals and Conservatives as those thinking the Conservatives will win continues to rise

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,692 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election (September 1 to 4, 2021). 62% of the interviews were done after the TVA French-language debate on Thursday evening. We will have a new release out on Tuesday with a large sample

Into week three, the Liberals (33%) and Conservatives (32%) are neck and neck, with the NDP trailing at 22%. But Conservatives are now ahead among likely voters.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,000 Canadians eligible to vote in the current federal election (August 24 to 29, 2021). Here’s what we are seeing: CURRENT VOTE INTENTION If an election were held now, the Liberals would win 33% of the vote (unchanged from last week), the

Abacus Election Bulletin: Which online sources are we using to learn about the federal election?

Each day during the 2021 Federal Election campaign, researchers at Abacus Data will share insights and analysis from our polling in concise, insights-focused reports. To never miss our polls and analysis, subscribe to our newsletter. By Oksana Kishchuk In a federal election, the messaging and tone a political party chooses to use is important. It’s

Abacus Election Bulletin: What do Canadians think of the leaders?

Each day during the 2021 Federal Election campaign, researchers at Abacus Data will share insights and analysis from our polling in concise, insights-focused reports. To never miss our polls and analysis, subscribe to our newsletter. By David Coletto and Richard Jenkins It is an understatement to say that how Canadians feel about the political party

Abacus Election Bulletin: Canada’s urban-rural divide

Each day during the 2021 Federal Election campaign, researchers at Abacus Data will share insights and analysis from our polling in concise, insights-focused reports. To never miss our polls and analysis, subscribe to our newsletter. By Michael Monopoli The US has a prevalent urban-rural divide, which often finds itself impacting how individuals vote, with rural

Liberals ahead by 4. Erin O’Toole making some progress improving his image while NDP support continuing to rise.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto We just completed a national survey of 2,000 Canadian adults eligible to vote (August 17 to 22, 2021). After the first week of the campaign, here’s what we are seeing: GOVERNMENT APPROVAL Today 41% approve of the job being done by the Trudeau government, while 42% disapprove. Regionally, net

Good decisions require good data.