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After My Democracy, Castro, ‘cash for access’, pipelines, climate plan, Liberals end the year well ahead, but off their summer peak

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Our latest nationwide public opinion survey explored a wide variety of topics. Our first release describes the current state of federal politics, including reactions to a variety of events and decisions. Here’s what we see: Party support has seen some softening in recent weeks, but remains at levels roughly

THE ECONOMIC MOOD IS WARMING

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto HEALTH OF THE CANADIAN ECONOMY When the federal Liberals took office, the mood of Canadians on the economy was fairly gloomy: only 32% said it was in good shape. That number has climbed to 52%. In every region, feelings about the economy have improved since May. The greatest gains

The Economy & National Politics?

Economic concerns are rising. Political preferences fairly stable. LPC 45%, CPC 28%, NDP 17% By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto A year ago, two thirds of Canadians said the economy was in good shape; one third said it was “poor”. Today, those numbers are reversed, illustrating how significant has been the shift in sentiment. Much

Canadian Politics: Broad Support for New Government

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto 1 in 2 say they Would Vote Liberal Tomorrow In our latest nationwide poll, fully 49% say that they would vote Liberal if there was an election today, signalling that the early choices made by the Trudeau government have been generally well received by voters. Conservative support today stands

Final #elxn42 poll: What do Canadians think about the leaders?

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto The three main party leaders have been a huge part of the story of how this election has played out.  And the views of all three have shifted over the 11 week campaign. The biggest shift has been rapid improvement in positive feeling about Mr. Trudeau.  Only 30% said

Final #elxn42 Poll: Expected Winner and Best Performing Leader

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Throughout the campaign, we’ve been keeping an eye on how voters are predicting the outcome, as this can sometimes have an impact on their own decisions, strategic or otherwise.  In August of 2014, a year before the writs were dropped, 39% thought the Liberals would win, 25% picked the

The Case for Change vs. The Case for No Change

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Canadians split on whether the country is on the right track 37% of Canadians say the country is on the wrong track while 36% feel the opposite. Since the beginning of the campaign, the country has been remarkably split, an indicator of just why this election is so hard

Election 2015: Blue vs. Red; Orange flagging.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Liberals continue to edge upward, NDP downward In our latest horserace numbers, the Conservatives have 33% across the country, the Liberals 32%, and the NDP 24%. For both the Conservatives and Liberals these are the best levels of support we’ve seen since the election started; for the NDP, it

The Battle for the Change Vote

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Three out of four voters want change: but what does that mean? We asked the 76% of voters who said they preferred to see a change in government, whether they preferred ambitious or moderate change, and change that would be felt soon, or more gradually. We also asked which

NDP facing headwinds as support drops in Quebec.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto In our latest nationwide poll, only 5 points separates the Conservatives (32%) Liberals (29%) and NDP (27%). However, underneath the national figures, important trends have been developing in Quebec and Ontario, where 199 of the country’s 338 seats are at stake.  The number of undecided voters in our sample

Good decisions require good data.