The Next Canada: Politics, political engagement, and priorities of Canada’s next electoral powerhouse: young Canadians.

Commissioned by the Canadian Alliance of Student Associations Report written by David Coletto, PhD Canada’s New Electoral Powerhouse? Would you believe me if I told you that young Canadians likely had a major impact on the outcome of the 2015 Canadian general election? Probably not. That’s because we have continually heard over and over that

Final #elxn42 Poll: Expected Winner and Best Performing Leader

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Throughout the campaign, we’ve been keeping an eye on how voters are predicting the outcome, as this can sometimes have an impact on their own decisions, strategic or otherwise.  In August of 2014, a year before the writs were dropped, 39% thought the Liberals would win, 25% picked the

Election 2015: Blue vs. Red; Orange flagging.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Liberals continue to edge upward, NDP downward In our latest horserace numbers, the Conservatives have 33% across the country, the Liberals 32%, and the NDP 24%. For both the Conservatives and Liberals these are the best levels of support we’ve seen since the election started; for the NDP, it

The Battle for the Change Vote

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Three out of four voters want change: but what does that mean? We asked the 76% of voters who said they preferred to see a change in government, whether they preferred ambitious or moderate change, and change that would be felt soon, or more gradually. We also asked which

NDP facing headwinds as support drops in Quebec.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto In our latest nationwide poll, only 5 points separates the Conservatives (32%) Liberals (29%) and NDP (27%). However, underneath the national figures, important trends have been developing in Quebec and Ontario, where 199 of the country’s 338 seats are at stake.  The number of undecided voters in our sample

The Race for 24 Sussex

Mulcair most popular, but has lost ground Trudeau’s campaign shows good results Harper negatives hit new high By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto After soaring from April of this year, our latest survey shows a softening of impressions of NDP Leader Thomas Mulcair. His positives sagged slightly (2 points) to 39% and his negatives jumped

Up For Grabs: Federal Election 2015 a Toss-Up

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Conservatives shed 5 points, NDP up 4 Our latest horserace “who would you vote for tomorrow” question shows an extremely tight race, with the Conservatives at 31% and the NDP and the Liberals at 28%.  In the provinces with the most seats and the largest sample sizes, the Liberals have

Conservatives and Liberals end 2014 neck and neck as Harper’s personal numbers improve

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto The year 2014 ends with a tightly competitive race between the federal Liberals and the Conservative Party of Canada. The two parties are within a point of each other, (CPC 34%; LPC 33%). The trend lines we see over the period since March should provide some seasonal cheer for

Good decisions require good data.