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New data from a nationwide public opinion survey shows that many voters believe that either Justin Trudeau or Tom Mulcair would be acceptable as Prime Minister.

While 28% believe Stephen Harper does a good or excellent job in the office today, and another 29% would rate his performance as acceptable, fully 42% say he does a poor or very poor job.

In contrast, only about a quarter of those polled believe that either Mr. Trudeau or Mr. Mulcair would do a poor job if they held the office of Prime Minister.

35% think Trudeau would make a good or excellent Prime Minister, highest among the three leaders and 8 points better than Mr. Mulcair.



Our poll also explored some of the potential vulnerabilities of each leader, based on the criticisms they have faced from their political opponents. The results reveal:

  • Fully 59% think Justin Trudeau has good ideas for the future of the country, including a majority in every region of the country (52% in Alberta), one in four of those who intend to vote Conservative, and 58% of those planning on voting NDP, and 58% among those who are undecided about how they will vote.
  • 53% think Mr. Trudeau has sound judgement, including 27% of Conservative voters, and 53% of NDP voters.
  • Half (49%) believe Tom Mulcair has a good grasp of how the economy works, and the same number (50%) believes he has the right temperament to be PM.  Doubts about Mr. Mulcair’s economic approach are considerably higher west of Quebec.
  • For Mr. Harper, 32% believe he is honest and accountable, and 38% believe he governs according to values they share.  Majorities in every region exhibit doubts about Mr. Harper on honesty/accountability including 52% in Alberta and 25% among those who intend to vote Conservative.  Among undecided voters, 75% do not think Mr. Harper has shown honesty and accountability.

Keep reading over at Abacus Insider for more details and analysis: http://abacusinsider.com/politics-public-affairs/takes-prime-minister/

Good Decisions Require Good Data.