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January 26, 2014

New data from a nationwide public opinion survey shows that many voters believe that either Justin Trudeau or Tom Mulcair would be acceptable as Prime Minister.

While 28% believe Stephen Harper does a good or excellent job in the office today, and another 29% would rate his performance as acceptable, fully 42% say he does a poor or very poor job.

In contrast, only about a quarter of those polled believe that either Mr. Trudeau or Mr. Mulcair would do a poor job if they held the office of Prime Minister.

35% think Trudeau would make a good or excellent Prime Minister, highest among the three leaders and 8 points better than Mr. Mulcair.

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Our poll also explored some of the potential vulnerabilities of each leader, based on the criticisms they have faced from their political opponents. The results reveal:

  • Fully 59% think Justin Trudeau has good ideas for the future of the country, including a majority in every region of the country (52% in Alberta), one in four of those who intend to vote Conservative, and 58% of those planning on voting NDP, and 58% among those who are undecided about how they will vote.
  • 53% think Mr. Trudeau has sound judgement, including 27% of Conservative voters, and 53% of NDP voters.
  • Half (49%) believe Tom Mulcair has a good grasp of how the economy works, and the same number (50%) believes he has the right temperament to be PM.  Doubts about Mr. Mulcair’s economic approach are considerably higher west of Quebec.
  • For Mr. Harper, 32% believe he is honest and accountable, and 38% believe he governs according to values they share.  Majorities in every region exhibit doubts about Mr. Harper on honesty/accountability including 52% in Alberta and 25% among those who intend to vote Conservative.  Among undecided voters, 75% do not think Mr. Harper has shown honesty and accountability.

Keep reading over at Abacus Insider for more details and analysis: http://abacusinsider.com/politics-public-affairs/takes-prime-minister/

Good Decisions Require Good Data.