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United Conservatives poised for victory in a very close Alberta election: Abacus Data Poll
Analyzing the final poll of an election is both an exciting and anxiety-inducing exercise, especially when the election is close. Throughout the pre-campaign and campaign periods in Alberta, I’ve tried to offer a deeper understanding of what’s going on in the province, starting with our first survey back in December. That survey suggested that Danielle […]
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How Much Money Do You Need to Earn to Live Comfortably?
The last year has shown that living costs can be high and unpredictable. The cost of food and other home goods has meant living a comfortable life day-to-day is more pricey for everyone. And the rapid rise in house prices, not yet matched by wage increases, have meant other living costs have put comfort out […]
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Abacus Poll: UCP leads NDP in Alberta with one week to go.
After the leaders’ debate last Thursday, we launched our second last survey of the campaign to gauge what impact the debate and campaign may be having on voting intentions. The survey was conducted from May 19 to 22, 2023, and surveyed 1,507 eligible voters in Alberta online. In this report, I specifically highlight the results […]
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NDP and UCP Statistically Tied in Alberta
Over the weekend we released a new poll that found the NDP taking a lead over the UCP. Several other polls have been released or leaked which have found varying results – from a large UCP lead to a large NDP lead. So I wanted to verify and update the province-wide picture and conducted a […]
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Conservatives lead by 3 over Liberals
From May 9 to 12, 2023, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,500 adults exploring several topics related to Canadian politics and current events as part of our regular national omnibus surveys. In this analysis, I share the latest federal vote intention results. If an election was held at the time of the survey, […]
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What do Canadians think about Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre?
In a recent national survey conducted by Abacus Data, Canadians were asked to assess the Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition: Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre – on several attributes. The survey aimed to gauge public perception of the politicians’ competence, kindness, understanding of people’s lives, whether they hide their true beliefs, and if […]
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The NDP takes the lead in Alberta
With just over two weeks to go in the Alberta provincial election, a new survey of 885 eligible voters in Alberta by Abacus Data finds the Alberta NDP jumping ahead of the UCP after several months of near or complete deadlock in vote intentions between the two parties. In this report, I’ll share results from […]
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Lessons from the PSAC Strike and the Future of the Labour Movement in Canada
Late on April 30, Canada’s largest public-sector union and the federal government reached a tentative agreement ending one of the largest strikes in Canada’s history. For the previous 11 days, 120,000 public servants were on strike. A few days later, the government also reached a tentative agreement with PSAC members working for the Canada Revenue […]
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What Canadians think a Poilievre-led Conservative government would do and not do?
We conducted a national survey at the beginning of the month to explore public perceptions of a Conservative government led by Pierre Poilievre. We asked respondents whether they thought such a government would or wouldn’t undertake a list of actions and whether a Conservative government should or shouldn’t do the same things. The intention was […]
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2 in 3 Canadians would vote to eliminate the monarchy in Canada
A few days before King Charles III’s coronation, a new poll from Abacus Data finds that 2 in 3 Canadians would vote to eliminate the monarchy in Canada as impressions of King Charles III worsen from the last survey in 2020. From April 28 to May 3, Abacus Data interviewed 1,750 Canadian adults and asked […]