Can the Conservatives win in 2019 by running against carbon pricing? It’s no slam dunk.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto In our latest national survey, we asked respondents a series of questions about climate change, the federal approach to deal with the issue, and what they know and think about the federal leaders and their approach to climate change. Here’s what we found: THE SCALE OF THE CLIMATE ISSUE

Will Max Bernier be a spoiler for the Conservative Party?

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto It’s too early to know how Max Bernier’s full-blown attack on the Conservative Party of Canada will play out, but in our latest polling, we explored how people react to his arguments about that party and his decision to launch a new party based on some key policies. Readers

Liberals and Conservatives neck and neck as the race to 2019 takes shape

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto With a little over a year to go before the start of the 2019 federal election, we polled 2,000 Canadian adults last week about how they are seeing their political choices. Here are the highlights as we see them: THE SITUATION TODAY Today, 43% say they would prefer to

Confidence in Canadian Polling

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto In a considerable number of recent voting experiences, in Canada and in other jurisdictions, questions have been raised about the accuracy of polls, and the professionalism of pollsters. In our latest nationwide study, we decided to take a look at confidence in polling has held up, asking questions about

Canadian Politics Update: A more competitive political landscape

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Over the late summer, Canada’s political situation became more competitive, as Liberal Party support dipped, and the Conservatives saw gains. Today, an election would see 39% vote Liberal, 35% Conservative and 15% NDP. The biggest regional races show a dead heat in Ontario, a narrowing Liberal lead in BC,

What Abacus Does: Assessing the Dynamics of Issues Environments

By: Ihor Korbabicz ‘What Abacus Does’ is a companion piece to some of the public facing opinion research we post. It looks at the research through a practical lens and gives a sneak peek into the type of work we do to unearth the strategic implications and “so what” of our data for clients, causes

Trump and Canadians: it’s Not Going Well

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Following President Trump’s trip to the Middle East and Europe, we decided to ask Canadians how they were feeling about the new President, a little over 100 days into his term in office. Here’s what we found: Very few (10%) think Mr. Trump represented America well at the G7

As Conservatives Choose and the NDP Race Heats Up, Where Things Stand in Canadian Politics.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto It’s been just over a year and a half since the last federal election. Conservatives across the country have been mailing in ballots and their new leader will be known next weekend. The NDP race may now have a final lineup set and switch into a higher gear. As

After My Democracy, Castro, ‘cash for access’, pipelines, climate plan, Liberals end the year well ahead, but off their summer peak

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Our latest nationwide public opinion survey explored a wide variety of topics. Our first release describes the current state of federal politics, including reactions to a variety of events and decisions. Here’s what we see: Party support has seen some softening in recent weeks, but remains at levels roughly

In Defence Of My Craft: 2016 U.S. Election Polling Did Not Fail

Given all the debate and discussion about the performance of the polls in the U.S. Election, I couldn’t help but respond and give my thoughts on what happened. My team at Abacus takes what we do seriously.  I admit that survey research is not perfect.  But let’s not forget its value when done correctly and with

Good decisions require good data.