Will Max Bernier be a spoiler for the Conservative Party?

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto It’s too early to know how Max Bernier’s full-blown attack on the Conservative Party of Canada will play out, but in our latest polling, we explored how people react to his arguments about that party and his decision to launch a new party based on some key policies. Readers

The next 10%: Reflections and data on how the Conservatives can grow.

By David Coletto On Friday, I participated in a panel discussion at the Manning Networking Conference in Ottawa. The title of the panel was Spotlight on The Next 10% and we discussed how the federal Conservative Party might grow towards winning the next election in 2019. In preparing for that panel, I had a quick

After My Democracy, Castro, ‘cash for access’, pipelines, climate plan, Liberals end the year well ahead, but off their summer peak

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Our latest nationwide public opinion survey explored a wide variety of topics. Our first release describes the current state of federal politics, including reactions to a variety of events and decisions. Here’s what we see: Party support has seen some softening in recent weeks, but remains at levels roughly

The Case for Change vs. The Case for No Change

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Canadians split on whether the country is on the right track 37% of Canadians say the country is on the wrong track while 36% feel the opposite. Since the beginning of the campaign, the country has been remarkably split, an indicator of just why this election is so hard

Election 2015: Blue vs. Red; Orange flagging.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Liberals continue to edge upward, NDP downward In our latest horserace numbers, the Conservatives have 33% across the country, the Liberals 32%, and the NDP 24%. For both the Conservatives and Liberals these are the best levels of support we’ve seen since the election started; for the NDP, it

The Battle for the Change Vote

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Three out of four voters want change: but what does that mean? We asked the 76% of voters who said they preferred to see a change in government, whether they preferred ambitious or moderate change, and change that would be felt soon, or more gradually. We also asked which

NDP facing headwinds as support drops in Quebec.

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto In our latest nationwide poll, only 5 points separates the Conservatives (32%) Liberals (29%) and NDP (27%). However, underneath the national figures, important trends have been developing in Quebec and Ontario, where 199 of the country’s 338 seats are at stake.  The number of undecided voters in our sample

Desire for change intensifies, and battle for “change vote” tightens

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto The mood of the country continued to deteriorate and the desire for change grew since our last wave of surveying. Today, just 32% say the country is heading in the right direction, a drop of 18 points since last December and the lowest we have measured since we began

Race narrows as NDP support dips

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Our latest national voting intention numbers reveal a tightening race as the NDP has lost a little ground. If the election were tomorrow, 31% say they would vote NDP (down from 35% two weeks ago), 30% would vote CPC, and 28% would vote Liberal. The Liberals picked up 2

Up For Grabs: Federal Election 2015 a Toss-Up

By Bruce Anderson & David Coletto Conservatives shed 5 points, NDP up 4 Our latest horserace “who would you vote for tomorrow” question shows an extremely tight race, with the Conservatives at 31% and the NDP and the Liberals at 28%.  In the provinces with the most seats and the largest sample sizes, the Liberals have

Good decisions require good data.